I don't know. This is starting to feel like one of those cases where before the season we say "Pog needs to be at 100% to bring the fight to Vingegaard" but then small thing after small thing goes wrong and suddenly after every little mishap we tell ourselves "this is not perfect but he can still overcome this". This feels so much like how people talked themselves into thinking Contador would surely beat Froome this year even though there were tons of little bits of evidence against it. I hope to be wrong but I'm starting to fear this Tour might not even end up that close.