This is 100% fatigue. He has to race LBL smart and turn his attention to July
He needs to be in his best shape to beat Remco in LBL and he is not atm. Still very good, but not where he needs to be to beat Remco on a course like LBL.
I think Remco will win given what was seen today. Remco will only get better from these races.
While Pog is unlikely to get much better, only worse relative to himself and towards Remco. Still he will probably put up a valient effort and likely finish 2nd in a week from now, if he partcipiates. Remco should favor his own chance a lot in a week from now. He been biding his time and is very much prepared. Pog will be hoping and pray a bit for LBL now, imo. I dont think he will be beating Remco by just being stronger. Given the circumstances, it will be the opposite.
It was ambitious to try to go for MSR, Ronde, PR and LBL but it is one-two weeks too much this time.
He should not regret his PR attempt, but probably should have been given a choice. Either he was going for PR or the Ardennes, not both. Easy in hindsight, but he will have learned it by now.
And it should be a big warning to not race classics and later Tour... to then do Vuelta? Would be insane.
Probably he should have called his spring after PR or only done LBL, where I still think he would have faced a tough task.
Like I said yesterday. It is too much to go at MVDP in the cobbles, Remco in Ardennes and then Vinge in the Tour.
The risk is he will walk away with little, in terms of wins.