It's not wishful, it's based on Pog being up against Remco who is a different animal than other competitors, one who is a stellar tt rider and who himself mauls down the competition in long races (Olympics, Worlds 22, LBL, San Sebastian) and the fact that Pog has had a long spring campaign and that he might just be a bit weaker than usual. As I said before, a fresh Pog like in SB or RVV is one thing, then Remco would have a tough time.
And remember, we are here talkning about what Remco's best strategy is to win, which doesn't mean he will, it's about improving his chances. Is it better to bet on catching Pog after he attacks on RaF and hope to win a sprint? Maybe it is, but I'm not sure after what I saw Pog doing on Huy in just 300 m.