People are speculating and trying to work out scenarios because the expectations were sky-high before this Tour. After 2024 and the first half of this season + Dauphine we all expected he will obliterate the Tour where in fact it was nothing like that, Visma put on a really good fight and Jonas was incredibly strong even though he didn't manage to drop Tadej.
I think Tadej is just exhausted and doesn’t want to go through another three-week battle with Visma and Jonas right away, which is probably why he's skipping the Vuelta.
Which wasnt hard to predict or understand.
With the classics... I was adamant about that he would not to do a second GT.
I tried to tell people this for months in the early season and as far as last fall, I believe.
Riding classics, Dauphine, Tour + Vuelta... anyone that understand the toughness and prep needed for this would know or understand it is too tough and not feasible. That it wouldnt be a good idea. I always hoped he wouldnt do the Vuelta now, but we will see.
Taking a break after Tour, after achieving so much this season already... is just the most sensible thing to do. Try to win WC and Lombardia again.
Reflect and then think about next seasons targets.