An Hautacam level lead out from Narvaez with Wellens etc as well could work but is much harder to achieve on Cipressa as the lead in just isn’t hard enough to thin the field enough to simplify the positioning battle and put riders close enough to their limits that they are already pinned in line.
MvdP is a all time freak on those short anaerobic efforts but even he get grinded to dust in em in RVV by Pogacar.
In MSR however its to easy I cant see him drop him with the best leadout in the world even, I cant see anyone in the world doing a leadout to hurt MvdP there realistically, Narvaez sure but to shallow for him too vs MvdP to expect that to happen realistically, but sure best card.
Imo he needs to get lucky MvdP is off a tiny bit or eventually declines(which I think he will way faster than Pog.)