Depends on the distribution, not true for a normal one. Yes, the highest value in a given sample is further from the next than the 2nd is to the 3rd, but that distance decreases in a bigger or more selected sample. If the sample is two points, the expected difference is ~.8 standard deviations, and as the sample approaches an infinite amount of points, the expected differences between the two greatest values approaches 0.
Well, as far as I know there is nothing extremely noteworthy about Euler and Newton in their early childhoods (when compared to other great mathematicians) and there is the sum of the natural numbers up to 100 as the only anecdote about Gauss's early childhood. But later....
I didn't write doping specifically, I wrote cheating. And you are correct that I cannot prove it but I have precedent and history to support my claim that his supremacy cannot be explained physiologically. By the process of elimination I conclude that is more likely to have an illicit advantage that nobody else has (which as happened before). Am I 100% certain? No. But it's the most likely explanation.
Well people tended to be less diligent in recording intelligence anecdotes from one's childhood in the 17th and 18th centuries.
Without commenting on Carlsen specifically, the Wilson effect is well-established.
What you wrote is true but it is not applicable to the conversation. The number of samples stays fairly constant (even with the raise of population and interest in the sport the number of samples might grow an order of magnitude, but I doubt it would cause this difference of ordered statistics to reach its limit (even though it depends on the parameters of the distribution of course)). Additionally, we are probably talking about a multivariate (normal) distribution here and I do not know how the ordered statistics behave in this case (seems like a nice problem though
).OK, then agree to disagree. I believe it is more likely he is just ultra talented for the sport rather than him either having some superfueel nobody else has or him using a motor. To justify this I referenced some exceptional achievers above.
Yes, I am comparing him to other top GMs who arguably had even better performances at ages 7 or 8 but did not reach Carlsen's heights later on.
I did not know the name Wilson Effect but I did know the twins study where their IQ tents towards the same value later on in life. However, IQ is an one-dimensional parameter (even though it may encompass many traits); bear in mind that we are talking about about a multivariate pdf here most likely.
Pogacar beating Jorgenson was to send a message to Visma that he is better than they thought.
Yeah that's worse than Lance Armstrong, he would regularly give away the yellow jersey (often to french riders) and would give stages away.
He also sent a message to Evenepoel in FW. At the end of the day, this extreme arrogance could work against him. Are they going to prevent Ayuso from riding a GC in the TdF in het next 4 years? What about all the talented youngsters who can't aim for a win in MSR or PR until he has won it? What about Flanders, LBL or Lombardy? He reigns supreme for now, but how long can this last without opposition within the team?
But by that time JV was already minutes behind right? The guy (Poga) is just a worse bully than LA ever was. But he does it with a smile.
Look at him, he basically looks like a puppy. He'd never do anything wrong.
Look at him, he basically looks like a puppy. He'd never do anything wrong.
Aye. The day he met Pogacar is the first time he smiled since the time he woke up from doping induced coma.
The silence and relaxed demeanor of the peloton should tell you he isn't using motors and they accept his superiority. Watch the interviews of other riders. If they knew Pog was using a motor I'd expect some kind of strain in the way they speak. But there is none. They are all tranquille. And if I was a pro I wouldn't want to be gifted races.
You need you'd friends in cycling. UAE and Pogacar went out of their way to not let breaks get away so he could win, teams and riders will remember this. On the Col de Joux-Plane in the 2000 TDF, when Armstrong bonked riders who caught him we're pacing him and even offering him gels due to US Postal letting breaks ride away. Alberto Contador gifted Paolo Tiralongo a stage in 2011 Giro and then a year later in the 2012 Vuelta, when Contador was doing his race winning move to Fuente De guess who was in the break to and gave him a turn..... Paolo Tiralongo, and Astana also gave Contador bottles. There's loads of examples.
If they know about it and can afford it. It could be something extremely expensive that no one else can afford without the oil money.
Armstrong needed to play the politics game and by what I can glean from Johann Bryuneel he needed to restrain Armstrong on some occasions. But in those days everything was as dirty as hell and I do not think things are like that at the moment.
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