Well, I briefly explained my team before but that was really short. There I also mentioned my disappointment with the cross performance of Gerben Thijssen! Hopefully the lack of his performance there was because of his focus on training, not CX performance.
Anyway, bit more quality on explanation.
The expensive pick: Girmay. Hopefully his new team gives him a lot of freedom. He has a lot of opportunities to score, classics and sprints. Admittedly I'm not confident about this but let's go Green Jersey at the Tour and good placements in various classics.
GC upside: Ben o'Connor, Enric Mas, Rodriguez, Tiberi, van Eetvelt, Poole, Steinhauser and Widar. They won't all outperform the previous year. However, I am hoping some youngsters will have some serious outperformance. I spread my bets a bit there while hoping for revival of o'Connor, Mas and Rodriguez. In any case there is not much downside on those established names and lots of upside for my youngsters. Especially optimistic about Max Pool. Picnic has a lot of experience with building up youngsters. Not all of them are successful but if you fit within the system there are always various amazing performances. Dumoulin, Arensman, Onley for GC for instance.
Point farmers: Riders that might not win a lot but can be expected to place well often. Van Gils, Cosnefroy, Zingle, Laporte, Nys, Zana, Lamperti, Vansevenant, Williams and Page. Hopefully they ride many races and indeed get a lot of top 10 placements. Little downside, lots of upside. Maybe DF Martinez here? Or will he do GC? No idea.
Random Bets: Not breaking the bank. Davide de Pretto (unique pick), Pietro Mattio (two picks), Valgren (bumped into, I think, his brother in Zwift races a lot; lets' hope for more Amstel magic), Taminiaux, Krijnsen, Vermaerke, Tuckwell (did well in U23; could be with GC upside as well), Valter (Attila is an amazing name), Thijssen (despite his lack of CX performance!), Decomble (go Frenchie youth) and the other Carlos Rodriguez. My fake twins, let's hope neither disappoints.
My downside? No sprinters. Had Jakobsen last year and should have bought him again but have something against him. Just seems blase about it all and was never that amazing. Should get more points than he did last year but... should he? Sprinting is boring anyway.
Mostly went for GC hopefuls that will make the stage races more interesting to watch then when I have sprinters. Classics I'm low on as well but I'll just fanboy Wout then (which I had last year but... hoping he wins a monument but unfortunately doubt he will). Hoping Girmay and Laporte do well in early season but let's see. Doubt Valgren can repeat his Amstel performance but one can hope (despite it never being a great strategy).
I expect to do better than previous seasons where I was middle of the pack. However, probably missing Del Toro's of this world so doubtful but hey, will be fun to follow.
Most important: I seriously overlooked the Pune Grand Tour and to my shock, embarassment and disbelief do not have a single rider competing there. I'll cry myself to sleep every night that race is on.