The Cycling Betting Thread

[Pulpstar]

If Contador refinds his form at the Tour I want all the credit, it will be my £40 what won it.

 

[Leadbelly]

Nice forecast Cramps - it truly was an awful TT as predicted.

On Kwiat at 67ew for tomorrow's stage (though I see he's gone out to 81 in the meantime ) with PP. If he can find his TA legs the price seems very generous.

 

[Leadbelly]

Rather annoyed to miss out on Kwiat's tasty odds for the TdF as well. I think Bet365 had been the only people with a price on him, as most bookies had assumed he was not riding it. Even up until yesterday when I last checked the price was 400-500, but of course looking now (after reading in the race thread that he will be riding it) the price has dropped to 100. Shame.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/tour-de-france/winner/bet-history/michal-kwiatkowski/today

 

[Ferminal]

lol @ Contador trading up to 6! I think if I could get that I'd take it as a hedge, hoping for a terrible ride today

 

[Ferminal]

Ok possibly the weirdest bets I've ever placed:

Zubeldia @ 126
Rogers @ 151

and Navarro @ 81

From the TT maybe lots of the good guys are in average shape? I'm thinking a Sky 1-2 with third a bit of a lottery.

 

[SeriousSam]

lol @ Contador trading up to 6! I think if I could get that I'd take it as a hedge, hoping for a terrible ride today

decimal odds? where can you back contador @ 6.0?

 

[Squire]

For today's ongoing Dauphine stage (PP Livebet):

Kwiatkowski @ 81
Taaramae @ 51
König @ 34

All EW.

I imagine a late attack not covered by the favourites, or a sprint from a tiny group, hence Kwiatkowski (although Valverde will probably win).

 

[Ferminal]

decimal odds? Where can you back contador @ 6.0?

5.40 $104
5.50 $99
5.80 $7
5.90 $37

 

[manafana]

I got on froome at odds of evens or bigger, he ticks all those boxes.

taaramae will be interesting for a top 10, the strength of sky team is too much for rivals and contador has again and again being thwarted by them, and skys riders don't mess up coming out of a rest day.

 

[Samson]

Glad to see Taaramäe back

I can't see anyone beating Froome in Tour.

 

[wirral]

I think Froome will win the Tour de France but odds of 1.8 (4/5) at this stage are too low. Anything could happen. There's not a huge amount of TTing in the tour. A crash in crazy first week (Lord knows what the mountain roads are like in Corsica. I bet they are not very wide. He will win but I will lay him now and back him when his price eases back to evens at least.

He might even not look so good in the last 2 mountain stages of the Dauphine.

 

[Pulpstar]

I've laid Contador but not backed Froome.

 

[manafana]

hard to see past froome thou with such strong team around him and nibali has been only one to crack him iv opposed favs in the othe tours of late but like wiggins I think the smart money is on the fav here.

 

[The Hitch]

A crash in crazy first week (Lord knows what the mountain roads are like in Corsica.

Thing is, since sky rider the whole race on the front, his chances of getting caught up in a crash are far smaller.

 

[Poursuivant]

Why do bookies take so long putting up market? Still haven't seen stage 7 odds.

 

[MADRAZO]

Why do bookies take so long putting up market? Still haven't seen stage 7 odds.

Bet365 has been out some time and Unibet has also sort of copied them

 

[Poursuivant]

Bet365 has been out some time and Unibet has also sort of copied them

Interesting. i may sign up.

 

[gizzajob]

odds are up now for Suisse and Dauphine, stage and overall. Bet365 and others.

Main one to have caught my eye was Bajkovic overall at 40-1, now 22-1. Kangert is 9-1 so bookies either know something that Astana haven't published or have got it wrong.

 

[Leadbelly]

Nothing too exciting for stage 7 at the Dauphine in betting terms - hopefully the racing will make up for it. Some tempters though for the TdS TT - looking at the course it appears to be more of a power course and ofc you'd expect Spartacus and TGVG to be up there, but third might be up for grabs.

Mollema 151ew
Peraud 201ew
Spilak 251ew

All with PP, and hopefully they'll have GC markets up by the morn.

 

[manafana]

went for spilak and ullissi in tds, prologue i went tvg and rasmussen

 

[Pulpstar]

Tried to back Spartacus 1t 1.83 on Betfair, a second before it was placed someone took the lot :O(

 

[Pulpstar]

Hmm he has drifted out. Probably the wind....

Oh well I'll keep my bet and hope for the best.

 

[Pulpstar]

Think my cash has blown away in the wind

 

[willbick]

Ok possibly the weirdest bets I've ever placed:

Zubeldia @ 126
Rogers @ 151

and Navarro @ 81

From the TT maybe lots of the good guys are in average shape? I'm thinking a Sky 1-2 with third a bit of a lottery.

Nice bet on rogers!

 

[Leadbelly]

Think my cash has blown away in the wind

I don't care about the money (much), but I do feel a bit cheated out of my afternoon's entertainment by that wind. All my picks were late starters and had no chance - therefore no frisson of excitement.