The Cycling Betting Thread

[Cramps]

I had a look at the website, but the only info I could find was that the prize money for the KotM points was doubled on summit finishes. You'd think this sort of info would be easy to find, but I can only assume that the points themself will be doubled too.

My french is pretty much limited to google translate, but the pdf rules says double points on MTF: 8th, 15th, 18th, and 20th stages.

UPDATE: but the second half of the pdf rules brochure are in english! Confirms 2x points on MTF
French and English rules

 

[element]

I put £2.00 each way on Gesink at 500-1 with bet 365. I know he's working for Mollema, and has been a bit below par, but I think the lack of pressure might work in his favour. Worth a shot!

Edit* you can get him at 600-1 now.

 

[Ferminal]

That's pretty good, IMO you can still make a case that Gesink was always targeting the Tour which is why he wasn't great in the Giro.

 

[bucko007]

I was looking at the winner of team classification and like the look of RSN at $13. Made the mistake of backing sky last year.I anticipate team sky will slowly drop their riders and will be left with only Porte and Froome with the 3rd rider of their team minutes back.Any thoughts on who you think will win team classification guys?

 

[richard_91]

I've seen Garmin at around25s which seems pretty good value

 

[MADRAZO]

I've seen Garmin at around25s which seems pretty good value

That would be great value. Got odds 15 myself about a week ago but has neever seen it higher, but it seems it has dropped a lot everywhere after the team was finally published, so I doubt it can be found high anymore.

 

[Leadbelly]

One final bet, Gesink for a top ten at 12 with PP.

 

[Waterloo Sunrise]

Odds against available on Cav taking 5 stage wins (achieved 3 of last 4 tours, on courses nowhere near as suitable) on betfair.

 

[manafana]

opposing Andy Schleck is my tactic for this tour.

 

[Sasquatch]

I was going to post this yesterday, but then when I looked when I was going to post it, the odds came on.

TAB Sportsbet Victoria/NSW for the Australian's, had Mikel Nieve $51 to come top 10. Was well over the odds so I took it. It stayed there for 2 days. I was going to put on more but was too late. When I looked last night he was into $10.

People like Brajkovic are $10 there too.

Peraud was about $21, but moved into $3.50

Moreno was $21 earlier in the week. Now into $3

So they had their odds all skewed.

 

[Barrell24]

I was going to post this yesterday, but then when I looked when I was going to post it, the odds came on.

TAB Sportsbet Victoria/NSW for the Australian's, had Mikel Nieve $51 to come top 10. Was well over the odds so I took it. It stayed there for 2 days. I was going to put on more but was too late. When I looked last night he was into $10.

People like Brajkovic are $10 there too.

Peraud was about $21, but moved into $3.50

Moreno was $21 earlier in the week. Now into $3

So they had their odds all skewed.

Yeah, the other day I saw Moreno at 21 and Martin at 10, was going to put money on last night but they have both come into 3! Whats the go there?

 

[Sasquatch]

Yeah, the other day I saw Moreno at 21 and Martin at 10, was going to put money on last night but they have both come into 3! Whats the go there?

Either people backed them in or they realised that they set them a bit too long. It makes sense that people backed them because some odds are still out compared to say Bet365.

 

[richard_91]

Just seen William hill have an offer of Cav for the green and Froome to win at 4.00

Think that will tempt alot

 

[Barrell24]

Who does everyone think is the best agency/bookie for cycling? From what I have seen Bet365 has a pretty good selection of markets.

 

[Waterloo Sunrise]

After watching the intermediate sprint the bottom has fallen out of the Sagan stage win price on betfair.

 

[Leadbelly]

Do you reckon the chance of a break succeeding tomorrow has increased after the crash today? I might have a "Hail Mary" pick in case it has, but I'll have a think about it first.

Gone for Velits though at 251ew. Too big to resist, should be under 100.

 

[Leadbelly]

Who does everyone think is the best agency/bookie for cycling? From what I have seen Bet365 has a pretty good selection of markets.

The best option is to have accounts with all of them. I find it tough though to keep track of the money when using multi accounts at the same time, so I'm currently using Paddy Power with their well known "generous" odds. Bet365 have a lot of markets as you say and more H2H ones if that's the sort of thing you're interested in. Haven't bet with them in a while, but SportingBet is quite nice too with their top 3 markets for individual stages.

My "Hail Mary" pick for tomorrow is El Fares at 501 with PP. Finished well down the field today, so must have been caught up in the crash, but the Sojasun manager says "Pas de gros bobos...on s'en sort bien, c'est le Tour!".

 

[manafana]

pinnacle are best to have out all them, good limits dont mind you winning and offer most bet365 match bets.

Albasini my value bet today 70s on betfair

 

[wirral]

£120 goes late on Irizar due to dubious tv graphics. It was in fact Bakelandts.

 

[SlimChance]

Tour De France - Stage 3 [Ajaccio - Calvi 145km]

03.00 Peter Sagan (CAN)
15.00 Sylvain Chavanel (OPQ)
19.00 Edvald Boasson Hagen (SKY)
21.00 Alejandro Valverde (MOV)
21.00 Philippe Gilbert (BMC)
21.00 Thomas Voeckler (EUC)
29.00 Cadel Evans (BMC)
31.00 Michal Kwiatkowski (OPQ)
34.00 Daniel Moreno (KAT)
34.00 Simon Gerrans (OGE)
41.00 Jonathan Hivert (SOJ)
41.00 Pierre Rolland (EUC)
41.00 Ryder Hesjedal (GRS)
41.00 Tony Gallopin (RLT)
51.00 Dan Martin (GRS)
51.00 Daryl Impey (OGE)
51.00 Joaquim Rodriguez (KAT)
51.00 Julien Simon (SOJ)

All other riders 67.00 or bigger
1/4 odds 1,2,3 for each way purposes (Sportingbet & Bwin are win only)

.

 

[manafana]

french champion vichot surely gets involved or an orica rider no doubt i will pick wrong one

 

[Cramps]

£120 goes late on Irizar due to dubious tv graphics. It was in fact Bakelandts.

Ouch

This has been a good couple of stages for bookmakers I think

 

[Leadbelly]

WoW PP have their skates on, they have odds up already for the tomorrow's TTT.

Movistar 56ew

Course doesn't suit them as much as the Giro one did, but still got a decent chance of a top 3.

 

[Leadbelly]

Katusha at 501ew too (also with PP). Got to drag Purito and Brown about, but still could do well.

 

[Pulpstar]

I've followed you in, and added Saxo-Tinkoff at 226 also. Often the 'expected' teams don't show up in the TTTs. Sky look terrible value at 4.50 considering Geraint and Stannard - must say.