Really great that MvdP is back at the Tour this year. With him, Wout, Bini, Alaphilippe, Mohoric and Matthews in the mix (besides the always hungry Pogi) it will be really hard for not absolute wordl class riders to win a stage. I know everyone winning a stage at the tour is very good but we always have some more unexpected wins like Houle and Clarke last year. Those kind of wins get rarer as the breakaway often looses to the Peleton and more big names use the breakaway to win. Will be hard for the nans peters, Korads, Pollits and even the Kraghs and Teuns of this world to win with that superb field at the start and not that many classic breakaway stages on the table.
For MvdP I'm curious. Can he hold on in stage 1 or 2? Cote de Pike is in my books too hard for him and Wout but they could come back if there's a stalemate at the front. He has to find his peak climbing legs to compete for stage win in this course. I think some of the teams going for stage wins will see their chances slip because the classic breakaway stages are really hard. For me it's more a terrain where a Jorgensen, Vansevenant or Pinot could excel.