I think between Alaphilippe and van der Poel it would always depend on the day. Last year Alaphilippe was obviously not at his peak during April. He peaked for Strade and MSR and then later in summer. He still won FW because the race (with route of last year) just fits him too well. Still Fuglsang(!) almost beat him.
When things go right for Teuns and he's in good shape, he could win over all of them. But I would not really expect him to do it in FW, but in a race with more real mountains.
Van Aert should be very capable of winning Strade.
I don't know how talented each guy is, how do you measure "pure" talent in relation to what life and work made out of you anyway, but I am very sure van der Poel, even if he might be the most talented, is not on a completely different level in that regard, and the "killer instinct" is something a lot of riders, someone like Alaphilippe certainly, have. "Winner instinct" is just talk to me.
When things go right for Teuns and he's in good shape, he could win over all of them. But I would not really expect him to do it in FW, but in a race with more real mountains.
Van Aert should be very capable of winning Strade.
I don't know how talented each guy is, how do you measure "pure" talent in relation to what life and work made out of you anyway, but I am very sure van der Poel, even if he might be the most talented, is not on a completely different level in that regard, and the "killer instinct" is something a lot of riders, someone like Alaphilippe certainly, have. "Winner instinct" is just talk to me.