Red Bull won't risk to ride only for GC again after what happened to Roglic at the TDF last year and the Giro this year.
I think they have a bit pressure from the sponsors to ride in an attractive way this year at the TDF.
Thats why I think they will go for riders like Meeus, van Gils and Pithie.
I see it similarly. As the year hasn't gone particularly well so far, you have to and want to show something at the Tour.
You have to make a fundamental decision. Do you want to ride offensively and attractively or do you want to bet everything on the overall classification? But then the goal has to be overall victory. You don't have to put all your eggs in one basket for 3rd place.
Is there a chance of beating Tadey and Jonas? If everything goes normally, it will be super difficult.
The Giro showed once again with Yates' victory and how Visma rode: If you're not the favorite to win and don't expect to be in the lead a lot or generally take on a lot of responsibility: Then you don't need a team fully focused on the captain. You can also achieve a top result without a team being there for just one rider.
It also takes some of the pressure off the captain: when 7 riders are riding for Roglic, the pressure is immense.
That's why it's much better to ride on multiple tracks. Especially at the beginning there are a lot of sprint stages.
So in addition to Van Poppel, also take Meeus with you to get good results in the sprints. Van Gils for the harder stages. Roglic, Lipowitz and Vlasov for the mountains. Tratnik as a helper on the flats. And then there's a place for Martinez if he does get in shape, or a rider like Sobrero who is in reasonable form at the Tour de Suisse.
This spreads the chances and distributes the pressure. And yet a lot is possible. However, you then have to consider whether you shouldn't rely fully on Roglic. With so few helpers on the mountain, you can't let two riders ride as they please. But I would take the risk.