Pog's crumbling in last year's TDF was undoubtedly linked to his preparation, but it remains to be seen (let's hope next year they will face off in prime condition) whether he would have beaten him otherwise. I've grown more convinced that he would not have won last year's LBL either, after a long classics season and already showing serious signs of weakness during Amstel.
Evenepoel on the other hand not only missed out on his big 2020 goals, but also all his 2021 goals. Looking at the way he was riding in 2020 up til then, and in 2022, it's quite unrealistic to argue he would not have won any of those (2x Lombardia, 2x Giro, 2x WCC RR, 2x WCC ITT, OG RR, OG ITT, 2x LBL), had he not crashed.
But again, mostly besides the point i was making. It was not just a setback in terms of time and wins for Evenepoel, but also development. He was 20 when he broke his hip, quite a different matter for a cyclist than being 24 and breaking your wrist.