I thought that as well, but I changed my mind after I looked at the stage profiles.The Giro is a backended route with barely a mountain to be seen in the first 12 stages - With 2 ITT's by this stage then Evanapoel should be at the pointy end - There's a decent chance he could finish the race with the backended route.
Stage 5: Etna
Stage 6: A climb of 19,5 km (only 4% gradient)
Stage 7: A very challenging stage (223 km!) with a climb of 25km near the end
Stage 10: Much more difficult than it looks with several steep climbs (one has up to 20% gradient) near the end.
Stage 12: 205 km and 3800 altimeters!