Tirreno-Adriatico 2025, March 10-16

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I'm not against the removal of big MTFs from Tirreno. In fact, if anything, I'm for it; to me the golden age of this race was the late 2000s and early 2010s, when the race really had a very clear and somewhat unique identity that I felt it lost a bit of when it went to having the big MTFs at places like Prati di Tivo and Terminillo, becoming another mini-GT one week race instead of the somewhat unique race it had been before.

I'm also 100% in favour of the short-to-medium ITT and no TTT, and the 239km stage; given that this is a March race in Italy, it is frequently and historically used as a warm-up for Milano-Sanremo so endurance-testing long stages are definitely a worthwhile addition to the mix.

But where are the muri? This feels like those editions of the early 2000s (2003 and especially 2005 being notably awful) when Italian cycling was trying to have as many sprints as possible for Cipo and Ale-Jet to win. How is it even possible to find such a flat route from Ascoli Piceno to Pergola? What is even happening anymore? Who is to blame for this?
 
The favorites

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Let the hype begin! It's the big showdown everyone has been waiting for. It's MVDP vs Girmay. The race starts with a 10km flat ITT.
Vingegaard has moved from defending his title to Paris-Nice instead.

Notable GC mentions: Adam Yates, Pidcock, Ayuso, Landa, Carapaz, Bilbao, Gaudu, Gee
Notable sprinters: Girmay, MVDP, Milan, Kooij, Cort



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Live video stream available on Eurosport/GCN alternative.

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Full startlist (not yet final):
You didn't mention the best sprinter in the field...
 
Disappointing route but pretty good start list.

Ayuso seems the biggest GC favourite but it will be interesting to see how Pidcock does.

Milan is the favourite for the sprints but he will have plenty of competition and hope Van der Poel goes for the win on at least one stage.

Ganna to win today.
 
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Think there's 4 there or including the TT there?

I can't see stage 4 being a mass sprint and stage 5 is likely too hard. Stage 3 will be the interesting one then as that climb is long enough that if a team want to try shell the sprinters they might be able to

Stage 3 should be a mass sprint.
The climb except for for first 3 kilometres (which aren't so tough as well) is mostly false flat at 2-3%.
And then you have a few kilometres at 4-5%.

As for stage 4, even if it isn't a mass sprint, Milan might be able to win it with the climbing form he shows.
 
No word about the last minute withdrawal of Bini? Probably still in Eritrea with his wife and newborn child? If I was manager of Intermarche I would like to have my star rider in Tirreno to score some points! Every year there is a period where Girmay wants to go home, is sick or DNF after a little scratch.
 
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