Tirreno-Adriatico 2025, March 10-16

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You don't know who I had as number 3 and number 4 ;)

I don't see the reason for that at all. Especially not Landa who was miles better than him in the Tour.
Maybe not the place for this discussion, but Landa is 35 and likely to show signs of decline this year. Gee isn't young (27), but is entering only his 3rd full season (not a track part-timer) as a road pro and his second focusing on GC. I expect improvement from last year.

I had forgotten a few of the other names you mentioned were starting the Giro, so I'll concede a podium is unlikely without a crash or two in front of him. (Hi, Primoz!)
 
Ganna, going like a motor bike. Excellent ride - two fastest times in TA ever - and it surely is a good start of the year for him.

ps. Ridiculous helmets are obviously not necessary to produce good times. Something for Visma and others to think about.
 
Looking at the rest of the stages, any rider who lost significant time on the ITT will have a hard time gaining any time on other GC riders. Stage 3 has a 18km 3% which probably won't even drop heaviest ITT specialists. Stage 6 has a couple climbs that will at least remove many of the non-climbers from the GC list but the finish will likely still be a bigger group so no real time to gain. That leaves stage 7 as the only real opportunity to gain time but if you are already a minute behind then the number of riders you can pass is still fairly limited.

I'm thinking of riders like
Gaudu - 1:15 down
Cian Uijtebroeks - 1:13 down
Johannes Staune Mittet 1:13 down
Tobias Halland Johannesen 1:13 down
Davide Piganzoli 1:09 down
Richard Carapaz 1:09 down

I doubt any of these riders will manage to get into the top 10 for example whereas without the ITT they could at least had a shot at it.
 
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Looking at the rest of the stages, any rider who lost significant time on the ITT will have a hard time gaining any time on other GC riders. Stage 3 has a 18km 3% which probably won't even drop heaviest ITT specialists. Stage 6 has a couple climbs that will at least remove many of the non-climbers from the GC list but the finish will likely still be a bigger group so no real time to gain. That leaves stage 7 as the only real opportunity to gain time but if you are already a minute behind then the number of riders you can pass is still fairly limited.

I'm thinking of riders like
Gaudu - 1:15 down
Cian Uijtebroeks - 1:13 down
Johannes Staune Mittet 1:13 down
Tobias Halland Johannesen 1:13 down
Davide Piganzoli 1:09 down
Richard Carapaz 1:09 down

I doubt any of these riders will manage to get into the top 10 for example whereas without the ITT they could at least had a shot at it.
They'll probably need to attack stage 4 and 5 really but most likely not doing much.

I think you're going down to Pidcock for top 10 just cos he could get time bonuses on stage 3 and 5 if he goes to win those. The climbers really need to drop guys on stage 6 only which is tough unless they're super strong (Adam Yates might be able to do that)
 
Frontignano has 2k at >10% early on, so it's actually not a bad climb to make up time

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but yeah, unless the weather plays havoc, it'll likely be tough to make much of a difference elsewhere.
 
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Looking at the rest of the stages, any rider who lost significant time on the ITT will have a hard time gaining any time on other GC riders. Stage 3 has a 18km 3% which probably won't even drop heaviest ITT specialists. Stage 6 has a couple climbs that will at least remove many of the non-climbers from the GC list but the finish will likely still be a bigger group so no real time to gain. That leaves stage 7 as the only real opportunity to gain time but if you are already a minute behind then the number of riders you can pass is still fairly limited.

I'm thinking of riders like
Gaudu - 1:15 down
Cian Uijtebroeks - 1:13 down
Johannes Staune Mittet 1:13 down
Tobias Halland Johannesen 1:13 down
Davide Piganzoli 1:09 down
Richard Carapaz 1:09 down

I doubt any of these riders will manage to get into the top 10 for example whereas without the ITT they could at least had a shot at it.
Isaac Del Toro with 38 seconds back,top 10 ride. UAE with 2 in top ten close gaps. Was training hard with Pogacar for Strada prep.
Ayuso looking very solid..
Ganna is an excellent racer all around.. Obviously top TT rider and can sprint pretty well, rollers and small climbs he does OK..
Ben Healy kept it close, his form looks excellent.
 
Actually, Dunbar's National's ITT victory was one of the surprises of the year. He's an average ITTer who had a good one today, he was disappointing at the Alula Tour where he dropped like a stone every time there were crosswinds.
Bit of a stretch to call it one of the surprises of the year, although you'd normally expect Mullen to win that one. Dunbar has always had a decent TT for his stature. Was top 10 in the flattest TT imaginable at the U23 Worlds in Doha, for example. Good to see him possibly have better shape than in the Alula Tour anyway.
 
When they removed Passo delle Arette before Frontignano, they could at least have replaced it with another ascent of the steepest part of Frontignano on a 24 km circuit. Comparable to the ~19 km circuit for Carpegna three years ago.