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Tour de France 2020 | Stage 1 (Nice - Nice, 156 km)

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If Enric Mas wins the Tour, I will go to your home, I will drink your wine and I most certainly will eat your paella.

If Enric Mas heads into the final TT in 31st place and about an hour down, I will show up anyway, uninvited and unwelcome, and repeatedly insist that it's not over just yet.

I really do like paella.

Minor little detail, such as not even knowing where she lives, be damned!
 
Bennett really puts himself under a lot of pressure. Does not want to be the first QS rider with no Tour-win. But then there are usually more possibilities for sprinters than this year.
I wish him the best, maybe he can even do it tomorrow. But he does not seem to profit much from the DQS lead-out. Well, I would at least imagine they will really help him over the hills, while I'm not so sure what Lotto (did not look great after the lock-down) and NTT can do. Sagan will be fine by himself, but I think he will only win the sprint if some of the others, like Ewan, are gone.

A break going through, I can't imagine that. The stakes are too high for the sprinter's teams, who do not have so many opportunities.

Anyway, the sprinters must be happy Démare isn't there, Groenewegen isn't there, Jakobsen isn't there. So not many opportunities, but the chances in the sprints are not too bad.
 
Anyway, the sprinters must be happy Démare isn't there, Groenewegen isn't there, Jakobsen isn't there. So not many opportunities, but the chances in the sprints are not too bad.

And Gaviria and Ackermann.

Actually, there are nine opportunities for sprinters in the Tour. On some of the stages, there are hills yes, but they remain opportunities for people not named Pelucchi or Mareczko.
 
Wasn't this hyped as non bunch sprint back when this first came out?

apparently Gilbert still thinks it is not. According to Belgian media, he wants to go for yellow, while Ewan is Lotto's back-up option.

Personally I struggle to see it happen, but both live in Monaco, so they should know what to expect. I certainly don't mind him giving it a try.

Here is a profile of the full uphill stretch, by the way:

zq3L3Ld.png


so it's certainly not easy to get back if there's full speed right from the start. But that's a big if
 
Actually, there are nine opportunities for sprinters in the Tour. On some of the stages, there are hills yes, but they remain opportunities for people not named Pelucchi or Mareczko.
Ewan said he sees 6 sprint stages, four flat ones, and two hilly ones. But he may head back home after two weeks to prepare for the Giro, I guess?!
 
apparently Gilbert still thinks it is not. According to Belgian media, he wants to go for yellow, while Ewan is Lotto's back-up option.

Personally I struggle to see it happen, but both live in Monaco, so they should know what to expect. I certainly don't mind him giving it a try.

Here is a profile of the full uphill stretch, by the way:

zq3L3Ld.png


so it's certainly not easy to get back if there's full speed right from the start. But that's a big if
Big if, yes.
And if happens, Ewan might be the most affected.
That's why Gilbert's speaking, I guess.
 
apparently Gilbert still thinks it is not. According to Belgian media, he wants to go for yellow, while Ewan is Lotto's back-up option.

Personally I struggle to see it happen, but both live in Monaco, so they should know what to expect. I certainly don't mind him giving it a try.

Here is a profile of the full uphill stretch, by the way:

zq3L3Ld.png


so it's certainly not easy to get back if there's full speed right from the start. But that's a big if
The climbs are so insignificant and so far away that they would need to be pushed really, really hard to avoid a big bunch sprint.

I don't really see enough teams with both power and interest to do that. Can you imagine Cras, de Buyst and Frison tearing the peloton apart for Gilbert? ;)
  • Deceunick could be interesting but they have no reason to go all out to avoid sprint when they have Bennett.
  • BORA could be interesting if they knew that they don't have to look after Buchmann but I don't think they'll write GC out this early.
other than them, AG2R looks like the strongest sprinterless team that doesn't focus on GC and have guys that could fight for a stage win (Naesen, Cosnefroy). Maybe CCC if they don't have faith in Zakarin. But that's still a bit too little firepower IMO.

Unless something extraordinary happens, some splits occur and GC teams start riding furiously.
 
Bennett really puts himself under a lot of pressure. Does not want to be the first QS rider with no Tour-win. But then there are usually more possibilities for sprinters than this year.
I wish him the best, maybe he can even do it tomorrow. But he does not seem to profit much from the DQS lead-out. Well, I would at least imagine they will really help him over the hills, while I'm not so sure what Lotto (did not look great after the lock-down) and NTT can do. Sagan will be fine by himself, but I think he will only win the sprint if some of the others, like Ewan, are gone.

A break going through, I can't imagine that. The stakes are too high for the sprinter's teams, who do not have so many opportunities.

Anyway, the sprinters must be happy Démare isn't there, Groenewegen isn't there, Jakobsen isn't there. So not many opportunities, but the chances in the sprints are not too bad.

I must've missed it, why no Démare? He's been in great form.
 
It's going to be pretty surreal watching a Tour stage at this point of the year. I don't really get why I haven't been given three weeks off work? Isn't that a basic human right?

The weather seems to be a non-factor. No wind, no clouds. On Sunday, however, there will be lots of wind.

Let's hope there won't be too many bad crashes tomorrow. The GC contenders only have to survive tomorrow's stage, then the stress will lessen after the mountain stage on Sunday.

It would be fun if Nizzolo won and were to hold yellow, green, EC and Italian NC jerseys at the same time. Then he's going to overheat on Sunday, I think, with all that clothing ;)
I rescheduled a dentist appointment this Tuesday to next month so I could watch the TDF unfettered. (I am a geezer retiree who putters around the house all day.)
 
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If Enric Mas wins this Tour you can all come to my home; I'll throw a party with Spanish wine, Paella and endless Valverde-videos. I will also paint a big blue M on the door of my sleeping-room and finally learn to speak more than 3 sentences in Spanish. Also I will shave my head... almost entirely. :confused:

To quote Red Rick, I think that what Blue Roads is saying bob.a.feet, is that yours is a BALD prediction.
 
If Enric Mas wins the Tour, I will go to your home, I will drink your wine and I most certainly will eat your paella.

If Enric Mas heads into the final TT in 31st place and about an hour down, I will show up anyway, uninvited and unwelcome, and repeatedly insist that it's not over just yet.

I really do like paella.

In France (well, I think in most places) it is not over until the fat lady sings.

In Spain it is not over until the bald man tests positive.
 
Call me hysterical if you like but I haven't been this excited about the start of a tour in years. It's a combination of the late start to the season and the fact that I believe the race is wide open this year. Hopes will rise, dreams will be dashed, old stars will fade and new stars will shine. Welcome to the tour.
I'm definitely looking forward to it way more than usual. It's a really deep top 25 even if several say they're riding for stages (or someone else).

And Gaviria and Ackermann.

Actually, there are nine opportunities for sprinters in the Tour. On some of the stages, there are hills yes, but they remain opportunities for people not named Pelucchi or Mareczko.
I wonder if we'll see that many sprints with not as many strong teams with top sprinters here to pull back breaks? I guess DQS and Lotto might not even need the help, though.
 
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I really think we are looking at bunch sprints on stages 1,3,5,7, 19, and 21. That is six for a start, and 10 and 11 have strong possibilities for bunch sprints as well. And not out of the question to have a sprint for stage 14 also. For all the talk about this being a Tour dominated by climbing, there are a significant number of opportunities for sprinters from where I am looking at things.
 
The climbs are so insignificant and so far away that they would need to be pushed really, really hard to avoid a big bunch sprint.

I don't really see enough teams with both power and interest to do that. Can you imagine Cras, de Buyst and Frison tearing the peloton apart for Gilbert? ;)

yeah, I was thinking the same, that's why is was surprised reading it. NTT and B&B would probably be happy about a reduced sprint as well, but they don't have much firepower either.

But maybe Gilbert just plans to go for the breakaway instead?! It could be hard to prevent, given the upfill start, and put a lot of pressure on Deceuninck. Some other teams would probably join the chase, but still, the majority of work would be with them.
 
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yeah, I was thinking the same, that's why is was surprised reading it. NTT and B&B would probably be happy about a reduced sprint as well, but they don't have much firepower either.

But maybe Gilbert just plans to go for the breakaway instead?! It could be hard to prevent, given the upfill start, and put a lot of pressure on Deceuninck. Some other teams would probably join the chase, but still, the majority of work would be with them.

Amongst a number of silly little wagers on tonight's stage, I have 4 dollars cold hard cash on Gilbert at 125-1. It's better than Mary Swanson odds.
 

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