Tour de France 2020 | Stage 7 (Millau - Lavaur, 168 km)

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Crosswinds would work best on that D112 to the West, with SE wind (in the back). That enables the first echelon to go 60kmph with no hiding for those who are not fitting in that echelon. Only potential for max. gain of 30 seconds on that last stretch though.
From Castres on, there could be a chance. Some teams will try, I think. But everyone will know some teams will try, so I'm expecting nervousness and perhaps crashes as a result. Which could in turn create smaller groups.
 
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I fear that D112 is too sheltered (with trees and hedges), looking at google maps. So I expect a classic run-in to the finish.
I am not the biggest fan of Bennet, but I hope he gets the win, just to spice up the battle for green.
 
I saw this picture. Could it happen?
EhDt6i_WkAE7p_5.jpeg
 
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In fact QS has every reason in the world to actually force echelons. They probably have the 2nd best sprinter in the race and the best one is a lightweight with a rubbish team. Ewan will be extremely vulnerable in the crosswind.
 
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It's hard to imagine a better 8 man team for crosswinds than Asgreen, Jungels, Cavagna, DeClerq, Alaphilippe, Devenyns, Mørkøv and Bennett.

Sagan for Bennett and a guy like Stybar/Gilbert for Devenyns and we're talking perfection.
 
It's hard to imagine a better 8 man team for crosswinds than Asgreen, Jungels, Cavagna, DeClerq, Alaphilippe, Devenyns, Mørkøv and Bennett.

Sagan for Bennett and a guy like Stybar/Gilbert for Devenyns and we're talking perfection.

I think Bennett is good in crosswinds.

In fact, if it weren't for their injuries I think both Stybar and Lampaert would have been in the Tour squad. If you'd switch them for Devenyns and maybe Morkov, you would have the perfect team for crosswinds in my opinion.
 
D-QS have plenty of incentive to try and split it:
  • get the yellow back
  • win the stage by shedding some of the lighter sprinters; OK, basically shedding Ewan
  • make this stage exciting, thus motivating cycling fans all over the world to buy Deceuninck windows and Quickstep floor tiles
 
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