Does Israel Cycling Academy actually get invites to any grand tour? Androni Giocattoli & Bardiani (maybe Yellofluo instead) should be safe for the Giro d'Italia and I don't see them heading to the Tour de France either. Even if Wanty lost Martin, there are still Arkea & Fortuneo!
Either Arkea or ICA possibly gets the Katusha license. But only one of them becomes world tour.
There ain't no rumors that RCS & ASO pull their races from the world tour either. Vini Fantini wouldn't fold in that case. There should be clausules that weren't there, back in 2008 as well. Although it would make sense with the UCI being too incompetent to get rid of Barloworld 2.0 and thus local farm teams folding. But that mainly hurts the Giro d'Italia, with the 3 incompetent Frenchmen covering their disabilities. Hence, why Cofidis & Total turn world tour to avoid the battle for 2 wildcards and thus Prudhomme goes accord with the 20 teams WT as he gets sponsorship money from Dimension Data anyway.
ICA might get a Tour de France wildcard with Martin though, as 5 French teams are enough for Prudhomme and Furtuneo got snubbed anyway in 2018 & 2019!
5 French teams at the 2020 Tour de France, but only 2 Italian teams plus UAE at the 2020 Giro d'Italia.... It's just ridiculous!