speculation
BotanyBay said:
I think this question needs another thread, just to keep it on-track.
OK, so let's say we've got urine samples. They're Lance's and they're positive for EPO. Let's suppose we're in a jury room and everyone is in absolute agreement on this. A hypothetical.
What's the charge we're debating?
• It can't be perjury from the SCA case, because that would not be the fed's jurisdiction (Texas would have to go after him for that).
• It can't be lying to a grand jury, because Lance has not testified in front of the grand jury. I assume that if he's been questioned by federal agents, Herman has told him not to answer any such questions.
So what are we deliberating?
My guess is that we're looking at a trafficking charge. And the positive samples are supporting evidence. And they wouldn't be asking for this evidence unless they've got plenty of OTHER EVIDENCE linking Lance to a trafficking operation.
Thoughts? And PR firm employees / fanboys, please don't derail this by disputing the validity of the samples. I want to know WHY we're discussing samples in this theoretical jury room.
Most likely scenario is that they're going hard after Lance's dealer and they are setting up Lance as the star witness against the dealer. Looks like they're getting ready to invite Lance to talk to the GJ. They want Lance to know that they are holding his dopey pee while Lance is answering doping questions under oath. If Lance takes the Fifth, my bet is he gets immunity.
But since BB wants more Lance-centric responses, here goes:
Lance is way past trouble for 1999 dope possession; the statute of limitations saves him from that, and he's not going to be charged with doping or dealing in France in US Federal Court.
If the charge is against Lance, it's only going to be a doping charge if Lance was a big-time international distributor. That's very unlikely.
What, besides doping charges, is doping relevant to? My best guess is fraud on the USPS. I don't know the statute of limitations on that, but that's the most logical choice. Perjury isn't likely, gicen the statements I know about.
The investigation must be bearing fruit, because it is still being pursued aggressively. All that for a piddling fraud prosecution? Maybe, but I'm betting that they're going after Lance's dope dealer.