Novitsky has shown the penchant for using wiretaps. He did it back with Balco, then Ball, and used Floyd. To think he stopped, or decided not to employ that tact with Lance is silly.
They are out to get Lance and his gang. They've called so many who are directly and exactly related to Lance, to think otherwise is idiotic. Tyler, Lim, Popo, McIlvain, etc. etc. I think it will nail Lance and his gang. I think they will bring RICO charges against him.
I find your simpleton views and deductions to be, frankly, insulting to the general IQ around these parts. Granted, many are not on the same station but I have very solid channels to info and find them to be both reliable and exacting in their predicitons.
As to predicate offenses, this is not so tough despite you making it out to be. Bribery (including sports bribery & foreign corrupt practices act violations), Fraud (mail and wire fraud of the USPS), Drug Trafficking (Controlled Substances Act and Travel Act violations, hence the FDA connections), Obstruction of Justice (destruction of evidence), Money Laundering (bikes for Drugs)... Is that enough? The basis for bringing any of these charges on their own can also be under consideration. We just don't know, now do we? For you to sweepingly brush off these serious issues is juvenile. These are not so easily dismissed in considering how, if combined together, they could assemble a very strong RICO case. Indictment on that would be instant seizure of all assets, and only those they can show were not obtained as part of the scheme will they be able to recover.
Conviction rate means nothing in my view. It all rests upon how far they want to push this. Again, ignoring these issues as Federal crimes is plain dumb. Of course they are Federal crimes. Crossing state lines for mail fraud, wire fraud... You objectivity is simply vapor. It is fine to think he will get away without being convicted. It is pure and utter ignorance to think he won't be charged with multiple felonies, possibly being hammered with a RICO charge.
Yes, there is a difference between the indisputable facts, the probable facts and pure speculation. What you call each will differ from mine, as I do possess superior knowledge of the situation, as a benefit of my friends in Europe who are very tuned in, and my understanding of US laws (not a lawyer) but have studied up on this since Floyd popped this, and now understand quite a bit about the US legal process and corresponding criminal investigatory timelines. Regarding the SOL, the discovery of the predicate acts tolls the SOL, meaning the clock starts when they reasonably discovered they'd been frauded. Don't confuse this with the "last act" theory. The lengths at which they went to for the purpose of concealing their crimes also comes into play as it relates to the SOL. They tried very hard, and that permits latitude for a judge to toll the SOL, if necessary.
I won't go so far as to call you a Lance lover or question why you are here. I will state I feel I know as much as any "outsider" could probably know, and certainly more than you if I base my estimate on your posts. For all we know you are Lance? Doubt it but really, who knows?
I feel that Lance committed some serious crimes with his cohorts. They broke many Federal laws over many years, in a structured and deliberate manner. The laws they broke are mostly "predicate acts" that can possibly warrant a RICO charge. Ignoring this, claiming it as "not true" or whatever, is just ignorance. They are very good criminals but in the end they became too greedy and with the Feds bearing down, the jig is up.
Go read up on some RICO cases (please), RICO procedure with the US DoJ, and then come back and tell us all the reasons why it does not fit for Lance and his gang. Many, many, many RICO cases have gone forward with far less. Until then, your bluster is simply a facade of post after post claiming "nothing I see..." and "publicly known facts....", IE some worthless prattle that is not even a discussion.