Irish2009 said:
Looking at this why would Johan say that USADA has no authority but agree to arbitration?
If USADA has no authority over cycling, does it therefore imply that USADA has no authority over any athlete in any sport in the USA?
If the UCI dont come around to accepting a USADA investigation outcome as per the WADA code and the USOC take no action is there a possability of US athletes being not allowed compete in RIO by the IOC?
The USADA operates on two separate tracks of authority.
One track flows from the US Olympic Committee. They do the USOC's dope enforcement work. Lance and the UCI have not had any luck derailing the process that derives from this track.
The other track flows from USAC (the puppet of the UCI) to the USADA. On this tread of authority, USADA is just plain doing the work of USAC (the puppet of the UCI). This track is seriously under attack by the UCI, and its puppet, USAC. This attack has a long way to play out--and it is a straight contractual fight between the UCI/USADA and USADA.
Lance is trying to shape the fight in this latter track into a battle between UCI/USAC. This is the battle that OUGHT to be taking place in federal court right now. But it's not. Something is going on here that's keeping the UCI and USADA from suing USADA and arguing that USADA is breaching its contract with USAC by hounding poor Lance Armstrong. There's lots of good speculation about that.
The battle in the latter track can be viewed as a battle involving the UCI, USAC, and Lance--with the USOC (right now) playing no part in it. That battle is entirely unresolved. It could be resolved by the UCI/USAC initiating a "back-off" lawsuit, it could be resolved by the UCI/USAC just ignoring anything USADA does, or it could be resolved in a way that I'm not anticipating.
But the kicker is that these two tracks are not isolated from each other. If the UCI destroys (or ignores) USADA's attempts to dope-control USAC (the latter track), then there should (if everything works right) be bad consequences to the UCI/USAC from the Olympic participation angle (the former track). The Olympics have rules (the WADA Code) that say they're not going to let federations who violate the WADA code participate in Olympic events.
Your post looks down the road to the time when the US Olympic Committee is going to have to make up it's mind whether or not it is going to let USA Cycling (the UCI's puppet) participate in the Olympics. If the USOC lets USA Cycling participate, then the IOC is going to have to determine whether or not the USOC is going to allow a defiant violator of the WADA code participate as part of the US Olympic Team.
Lots of palms are gonna get greased along the way.