I think he recovers better, he expanded as much or more energy as Pogacar last year; always at the front till into the last km, taking pulls, and responding to attacks from UAE riders himself. Now whether that was due to Pogacar’s injury is up for debate but 2022 he recovered far better than Pog.4. Vingegaard recovers better (or perhaps is less wasteful in his use of energy) over 3 weeks.
Vingegaard would win the 22/23 tours no matter what prep Pogi had and I think this is borderline obvious.
I think the prep Pogacar needed for 2022 was the teams swapped, then he either wins or is closer to Vingegaard. If they swapped teams last year Vinge wins by a bigger margin.