Re: Re:
Cance > TheRest said:
LaFlorecita said:
Impressive Nizzolo, looks like he's getting back to his best. Also good showings by Garcia and Ion Izagirre. The latter could be a dark horse for the overall win.
I have no idea what to expect from Ion. He has never finished in the top 10 of a GT, but he's also never really had a succesful attempt without a crash. I actually think he's consistent enough, but his top level is probably a bit too low to win the overall
Ion is kind of like Luís León Sánchez in his mix of skills, I think. Luísle has had two 10th places in GTs but nothing really higher, though you can argue that Ion has shown more as an overall climber on longer ascents that may stand him in good stead, plus the fact Nibali's gone southward so quickly has given him GC freedom that Luísle only really had in 2010 when he was stagehunting in the Tour (and got some time gifts as a result) and in a relatively weak Vuelta field where he wouldn't have been in that top 10 had Antón not crashed out and certainly wouldn't have led the team had Valverde not been suspended. At the same time, Menchov losing time early on and Wiggins not doing so was the reason Cobo won in 2011 and Froome didn't, and with the likes of Porte and Nibali, some of the biggest names in the race, falling away early, the chance for a 2011-like outsider being right up there is perhaps better than usual, though I suspect it'll be more like 2010 with a smaller number of the established stars battling for the win and any surprise packages being along the Velits lines in their upper ceiling rather than Cobo/Froome doing the 1-2.