Vuelta a España Vuelta a España 2020: Stage 14 (Lugo › Ourense, 204.7km)

[Red Rick]

Uphill sprint, breakaway, or carnage. The latter depends on in Gigs is watching.

Roglic: in case of uphill sprint

 

[yaco]

It will be carnage to get into the breakaway - Expect 25 riders in the break.

 

[Mayomaniac]

Odds of Jumbo getting caught with their pants down once again?

 

[Netserk]

5th stage win and 10’’ to Roglic.

 

[johnymax]

I think Jumbo should chase and set an uphill sprint for Roglič, but they won't. I don't see any other team that would want to bring the peloton together to the last km. Only if there are riders in a breakaway who will endanger a top10 place of their rider, then those teams will give a hand in keeping the break close.

 

[gavia88]

perfect final kilometer for Roglic, and rather soft percentages. From the next 4 stages, this one seems to be the least suitable to attack Roglic. Are there any unprotected areas during the stage to surprise Jumbo with echolons?

 

[Red Rick]

Jumbo should only try to control for the stage if it's a smallish break and a team like DQS also wants to sprint uphill.

 

[SafeBet]

Jumbo should only try to control for the stage if it's a smallish break and a team like DQS also wants to sprint uphill.

I think DQS will be in the break, possibly with half the team.

 

[Anderis]

Carthy to lose 10-15 seconds on the final climb acceleration. Who knows if that will be decisive for the final GC. Just like seconds he lost on stage 10 that he most likely wouldn't have lost if he knew 1s gaps would be counted instead of 3s gaps (you could see he was not pushing 100% to close the gap he had in front of him).

 

[Blanco]

Valverde from the break...

 

[johnymax]

Valverde from the break...

Copy&paste for the next 3 stages.

 

[will-10]

At first I was pretty disappointed with the last week of this race on paper, but it might lead to some nice dynamic racing as Ineos, EF & Movistar have to try in unconventional places, because just waiting for la Covatilla isn't going to cut it.

We can hope, right?

 

[Koronin]

DQS and Movistar put half their teams into the break?

Valverde wins from the break.

 

[Samu Cuenca]

Woods wins from Valverde's wheel

 

[Escarabajo]

I just saw the profiles of the next 3 stages. This Vuelta has a horrendous last week. Wow!
This is terrible. Putting a time trial after the rest day like in the Giro 2018 and then nothing. "Sorry folks, that's a wrap".

 

[RedheadDane]

Woods wins from Valverde's wheel

Woods wins with Valverde's wheel.

 

[Samu Cuenca]

Woods wins with Valverde's wheel.

Advanced wheelsucking

 

[The Barb]

I just saw the profiles of the next 3 stages. This Vuelta has a horrendous last week. Wow!
This is terrible. Putting a time trial after the rest day like in the Giro 2018 and then nothing. "Sorry folks, that's a wrap".

I suspect they might have done this to protect against the possibility that the race wouldn't get to Madrid - i.e. so the GC would still have an air of legitimacy if the race were stopped two-thirds of the way through. But yeah, whatever the reason, it's not a great final week.

 

[RedheadDane]

I suspect they might have done this to protect against the possibility that the race wouldn't get to Madrid - i.e. so the GC would still have an air of legitimacy if the race were stopped two-thirds of the way through. But yeah, whatever the reason, it's not a great final week.

Pretty sure the route was designed before anyone knew the word 'covid-19'.

 

[Ricco']

Is this profile accurate?

The official one seems more shallow (lower final elevation - 150m vs. 183m) and also a more consistent grind to the finish in the final 5km. From the official profiles it seems like it's a 4% last km.

 

[Samu Cuenca]

Pretty sure the route was designed before anyone knew the word 'covid-19'.

They did change the stages that were meant to pass through Portugal, but I don't know how much of a difference it has made.

 

[MADRAZO]

Is this profile accurate?

The official one seems more shallow (lower final elevation - 150m vs. 183m) and also a more consistent grind to the finish in the final 5km. From the official profiles it seems like it's a 4% last km.

I am pretty surpriced by all the rumours of the finishclimb being hard now and 1.1 *6,5 %. On the official homepage profile looks like it only rises max 25 meter or 2,5 % in average the last km. But I guess its not the first time the Vuelta has made such useless profiles. But do anyone know for sure what is correct?

 

[ice&fire]

Is this profile accurate?

The official one seems more shallow (lower final elevation - 150m vs. 183m) and also a more consistent grind to the finish in the final 5km. From the official profiles it seems like it's a 4% last km.

According to the road book the elevation in the final 2km goes as follows:
115m @ 2km
120m @ 1.5km (0.5km @ 1%)
125m @ 1.3km (0.2km @ 2.5%)
135m @ 1.2km (0.1km @ 10%)
150m @ 0.8km (0.4km @ 3.75%)
195m @ 0km (0.8km @ 5.6%)

 

[MADRAZO]

According to the road book the elevation in the final 2km goes as follows:
115m @ 2km
120m @ 1.5km (0.5km @ 1%)
125m @ 1.3km (0.2km @ 2.5%)
135m @ 1.2km (0.1km @ 10%)
150m @ 0.8km (0.4km @ 3.75%)
195m @ 0km (0.8km @ 5.6%)

And the official homepage profiles ends the stage at 150 altitude in both the full profile, and the "last km " profile. Are we sure they actually ride those last 800 meters that has not been included on the profiles there. I would assume they perhaps has the finishline before the climb ends?

 

[ice&fire]

And the official homepage profiles ends the stage at 150 altitude in both the full profile, and the "last km " profile. Are we sure they actually ride those last 800 meters that has not been included on the profiles there. I would assume they perhaps has the finishline before the climb ends?

Stage length is the same in the web site as in the roadbook, as is the distance of the towns and climbs in the parcourse.
But the last 0.8km in the roadbook is full of twists and turns and are marked as narrow. Perhaps they've considered it was too dangerous, decided to skip it and only updated the profiles.
BTW, the roadbook has textual instructions on the side they take at the last roundabout that are inconsistent with the figure of the stage finish on the city map.