I had sort of suspected that the tactic of Jumbo is that whoever is 3rd has licence to go for the stage/time gap (increase the gap over 4th), and the other 2 are to stick around Mas/Ayuso/anyone else considered relevant.
So tomorrow is Roglic's to attack.
We've had two attempts at 1-2 attacks started by Vingegaard, then he goes nuclear and the counterattack never happens.
Tomorrow Roglic attacks first, he can't gap Ayuso and Mas, Vingegaard counterattacks and goes nuclear again.
We get the same result no matter what.