Koronin said:
This is why you see so much inconsistency with riders. Most riders have a very definite difference between being in race shape, being near a peak and being at a peak. Also most riders typically pick 2 major goals to peak for as a 3rd peak is even harder to achieve.
The rider who comes closest to maintaining a consent level for the entire season is Valverde. His consistency is actually not because of a consent level year round it's because his being off peak and at or near peak is not that different compared to other riders. He just doesn't have the high variance in levels. He has stated a few times that this is a great gift he's always had.
This is why riders peak and why for the most part you can tell the difference between when a rider is at/near peak and not.
If talk about consistently productive, Peter Sagan is for sure No.1.
From TDU to WC, he keep to win, he keep to the front of peleton.
I think people with stronger body and faster sprint will look more consistent. But at the end, human should have peak and days off.
People without fastest finish will go for attack for a win. A strong rider with good form might lose badly if the race roll out against him. You might overlook this if you only read one's results.
For Sagan, he is always fast. And more importantly, his normal level is higher than others.
Valverde is another example. He is a extremely strong all rounder with super fast finish kick.
He won't be dropped as Mark Cavendish. His TT is far better than most of climbers. He won't lose the wheel under crosswind when QS kicks. He has good team around him. Rain, cold, heat, downhill all good. He has no clear weakness. If he could hang on till finish line, his finishing speed put him in the front of the group.
When you check out Valverde's top 5s ( or Close losts), you might find that his finish time is same as 10th, 15th or even 20th finisher.
Moreover, I believe Valverde has a great professionalism. He seems to be able to stay-focused and obey team/coach instructions. "Not so many people with his level" is willing to work as domestique for others during GTs. He did it since 2015.
His normal level is higher than most of riders. So, he could win less important races with a less effort. By return, he lose the chance to win biggest races such as TDF or WC