105th Ronde van Vlaanderen: April 4th, 2021

[Red Rick]

I either lost in your post or I don't understand. The only year when Kristoff won Tour of Flanders was in 2015, that was when he was in leading duo with Terpstra and GvA and Sagan duo was chasing them.

Maybe you mean Kristoff's MSR win?

Kristoff never loses the sprint in Vlaanderen or Roubaix, it's just rarely for 1st.

2020, wins sprint for 3rd
2019, wins sprint for 3rd
2018, 16th, loses small group sprint to Demare
2017, wins sprint for 5th
2016, wins sprint for 4th
2015, wins 2 man sprint for the win
2014, finishes 5th solo
2013, wins sprint for 4th

Roubaix he won the group sprint for 9th/ 10th both times he didn't finish 15 minutes down or DNF.

 

[nbfc1962]

Is there any timetable at what time the race start?

 

[Mayomaniac]

Kristoff never loses the sprint in Vlaanderen or Roubaix, it's just rarely for 1st.

2020, wins sprint for 3rd
2019, wins sprint for 3rd
2018, 16th, loses small group sprint to Demare
2017, wins sprint for 5th
2016, wins sprint for 4th
2015, wins 2 man sprint for the win
2014, finishes 5th solo
2013, wins sprint for 4th

Roubaix he won the group sprint for 9th/ 10th both times he didn't finish 15 minutes down or DNF.

Yeah, he has 7 top 5 results out of 9 times that he raced the RVV, really impressive.

 

[Red Rick]

Yeah, he has 7 top 5 results out of 9 times that he raced the RVV, really impressive.

It's actually a bit surprising to me that his results are so poor in Roubaix.

 

[Mayomaniac]

It's actually a bit surprising to me that his results are so poor in Roubaix.

Roubaix cobbles are a different kind of cobbles and the sectors are much longer. Greipel for example has a top 10 result in Roubaix, but usually he was always better on the short cobbled climbs than on the Roubaix sectors or the Poggio. It's probably multiple anaerobic efforts vs multiple efforts that are close to your vo2 max power or even longer. Roubaix seems to suit strong TTers more.

 

[Samu Cuenca]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1378287253076774912

View: https://twitter.com/deceuninck_qst/status/1378287253076774912

 

[Publiuszam]

View: https://youtu.be/kNxsRZ5NAAc

 

[Keram]

I am definitely more hyped than in October. This race belongs to spring. I hope it will be at least good as E3.

 

[tomorrow]

Kristoff never loses the sprint in Vlaanderen or Roubaix, it's just rarely for 1st.

2020, wins sprint for 3rd
2019, wins sprint for 3rd
2018, 16th, loses small group sprint to Demare
2017, wins sprint for 5th
2016, wins sprint for 4th
2015, wins 2 man sprint for the win
2014, finishes 5th solo
2013, wins sprint for 4th

Roubaix he won the group sprint for 9th/ 10th both times he didn't finish 15 minutes down or DNF.

Oh, I see your point now. I thought you suggested a winning strategy for Sagan and you've just suggested a strategy that would bring a very good result with more chance than trying to win. I don't think this is very "Sagan-ish" strategy. Also after this race, his preparation for giro starts, so I think(or just maybe only hope) he can go deep tomorrow.

 

[tobydawq]

Oh, I see your point now. I thought you suggested a winning strategy for Sagan and you've just suggested a strategy that would bring a very good result with more chance than trying to win. I don't think this is very "Sagan-ish" strategy. Also after this race, his preparation for giro starts, so I think(or just maybe only hope) he can go deep tomorrow.

Has he confirmed he will do the Giro?

 

[Sciatic]

View: https://youtu.be/kNxsRZ5NAAc

Timely post—Kristoff makes clear that his strategy to try to win was to get some kind of gap before the Kwaremont b/c he knew he would get dropped if he tried to follow the strongest there. I remember other riders talking about that in the Boonen/Canc days, since it was rare for anyone else to be able to stay with those two (Sagan could).

 

[Lequack]

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zZnWI1hQBs4

 

[Lequack]

Sagan: "Haha what is happening"

 

[tomorrow]

Has he confirmed he will do the Giro?

I don't think so, my statement was based on the preliminary plan of his for this year, but actually with so little race days for him this year, it might be more probable than it was before the he got infected.

 

[Stelvio]

Is there any timetable at what time the race start?

Can't find a detailed time schedule, surprisingly. But (Swedish) Eurosport starts the broadcast at 10:00 (CEST) so around that time.

 

[Pantani_lives]

Is there any timetable at what time the race start?

Men:
Unfficial start: 10.00h
Official start: 10.18h
Expected finish: 16.40h

Women:
Start: 13.45h
Expected finish: 18.00h

 

[Pantani_lives]

The most experienced rider is Marcus Burghardt (Bora). He starts for the sixteenth time. He only had one DNF. His best result was seventh in 2009 - two years after his in Gent-Wevelgem.

Imanol Erviti (Movistar) also starts for the sixteenth time, but he had three DNFs. His best result was also seventh, in 2016.

Burghardt will probably stay with Sagan and Politt, but Erviti might join the early attackers. Here's my prediction for the long breakaway:

• Loïc Vliegen (Intermarché)
• Pieter Vanspeybroeck (Intermarché)
• Fabio Van Den Bossche (Sport Vlaanderen)
• Thimo Willems (Sport Vlaanderen)
• Kenneth Vanbilsen (Cofidis)
• Timothy Dupont (Bingoal)
• Cyril Lemoine (B&B)
• Imanol Erviti (Movistar)
• Max Walscheid (Qhubeka)
• Marco Haller (Bahrein)
• Nikita Stalnov (Astana)

 

[Wvv]

No one tested positive for COVID-19! All teams and riders can start.

 

[tobydawq]

The most experienced rider is Marcus Burghardt (Bora). He starts for the sixteenth time. He only had one DNF. His best result was seventh in 2009 - two years after his in Gent-Wevelgem.

Imanol Erviti (Movistar) also starts for the sixteenth time, but he had three DNFs. His best result was also seventh, in 2016.

Burghardt will probably stay with Sagan and Politt, but Erviti might join the early attackers. Here's my prediction for the long breakaway:

• Loïc Vliegen (Intermarché)
• Pieter Vanspeybroeck (Intermarché)
• Fabio Van Den Bossche (Sport Vlaanderen)
• Thimo Willems (Sport Vlaanderen)
• Kenneth Vanbilsen (Cofidis)
• Timothy Dupont (Bingoal)
• Cyril Lemoine (B&B)
• Imanol Erviti (Movistar)
• Max Walscheid (Qhubeka)
• Marco Haller (Bahrein)
• Nikita Stalnov (Astana)

Sometimes, I think people are a bit silly for predicting entire top tens because that's impossible to get right. But this seems reasonable...

 

[vladimir]

For my own use, I have created a shortlist of the 33 riders who have odds 151 or shorter on Betfair. Maybe someone else also finds this helpful:

nummer	navn	Lag	Odds
1​	VAN DER POEL Mathieu	Alpecin-Fenix	4​
11​	ALAPHILIPPE Julian	Deceuninck - Quick Step	8,5​
12​	ASGREEN Kasper	Deceuninck - Quick Step	10​
13​	BALLERINI Davide	Deceuninck - Quick Step	67​
15​	SÉNÉCHAL Florian	Deceuninck - Quick Step	15​
16​	LAMPAERT Yves	Deceuninck - Quick Step	21​
21​	VAN AVERMAET Greg	AG2R Citroën Team	26​
23​	NAESEN Oliver	AG2R Citroën Team	41​
31​	VAN AERT Wout	Team Jumbo-Visma	3,75​
41​	DEGENKOLB John	Lotto Soudal	151​
47​	WELLENS Tim	Lotto Soudal	71​
51​	STUYVEN Jasper	Trek - Segafredo	26​
55​	PEDERSEN Mads	Trek - Segafredo	34​
61​	SAGAN Peter	BORA - hansgrohe	21​
65​	POLITT Nils	BORA - hansgrohe	51​
71​	BETTIOL Alberto	EF Education - Nippo	126​
73​	VALGREN Michael	EF Education - Nippo	67​
81​	VANMARCKE Sep	Israel Start-Up Nation	51​
91​	BENOOT Tiesj	Team DSM	67​
94​	KRAGH ANDERSEN Søren	Team DSM	67​
101​	MATTHEWS Michael	Team BikeExchange	41​
111​	KRISTOFF Alexander	UAE-Team Emirates	26​
116​	TRENTIN Matteo	UAE-Team Emirates	51​
121​	CAMPENAERTS Victor	Team Qhubeka ASSOS	151​
124​	NIZZOLO Giacomo	Team Qhubeka ASSOS	67​
141​	LAPORTE Christophe	Cofidis, Solutions Crédits	67​
151​	COLBRELLI Sonny	Bahrain - Victorious	151​
152​	TEUNS Dylan	Bahrain - Victorious	101​
161​	KÜNG Stefan	Groupama - FDJ	67​
171​	PIDCOCK Thomas	INEOS Grenadiers	41​
177​	VAN BAARLE Dylan	INEOS Grenadiers	21​
191​	GARCÍA CORTINA Iván	Movistar Team	101​
246​	TURGIS Anthony	Team Total Direct Energie	41​

 

[tobydawq]

Diluted negative start list:

Stybar and Valverde

 

[SafeBet]

Happy Easter Ronde everybody.
Beautiful day ahead, enjoy it.

 

[tobydawq]

Terpstra just dropped something. Instant DSQ surely!!!

 

[Frankschleck]

Stybar missing it sucks for the race. Think he would be most likely of the others than the big 3 to follow them and would have made a interesting tactical situation. Oh well, will still be.a good race. Looking forward to follow bargirl.

 

[jpanula]

Happy Easter and Vlaanderday

https://imgur.com/a/dD3Tr4p