Kwibus said:
The more I look at the profile the more I get the feeling absolutely nothing will happen.
Simply because the climbs ain't hard enough.
I did the Etape last sunday, and for me the climbs were plenty hard....
Admittedly I was a bit out of shape, and worn out from the Marmotte the day before, but the concensus amongst riders last week was that it was harder than it looked on paper.
And it's not the terrain that kills you, it's the speed. If they go hard enough, riders will break.
The climb to Glandon is the hardest, and where they need to attack, it really ramps up towards the end. The descent down to the Mollard is not super tricky, it gets worse after the Mollard, and the likes of Nibali can make a difference there. The final climb is not too hard, and it will be hard to break anyone on that climb. The last 3 km is pretty leg sapping, the wind will also be a factor there. The worst thing about the last climb could be the heat, it was boiling on Sunday.
There may not be a break today, if the GC contenders want to make this a hard stage, they may set the pace already on the Madelaine. Then this will turn into a battle of attrition, and if someone has a bad day, they will certainly suffer and lose time.