Saxo, what the hell. They must have reduced the advantage by 30 seconds or something. Why? It's only a little advantage but it's there, roads are wet, it's a difficult course and Breschel is going well in the break.
Remember, while Andy is far from impressive, it's not like he's generally good in Suisse. In 2011 (iirc) he got dropped like a brick by Cunego on a break. And he was fine in the TDF.