2014 Speculation (and confirmation) thread - rider schedules and parcours

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Feb 20, 2010
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This is still a million miles off using the full potential of Bavaria (would love to see a real medium mountain stage in the eastern part and a proper full size MTF in the south, or a puncheur type stage around somewhere like Garmisch, Füssen or Deggendorf.

However, this is a massive, massive, MASSIVE improvement over recent editions of the race, which could legitimately be known as "the most disappointing race parcours of the year" most years. You see, while The Official Worst Race In The World® may hold sway over that title, there aren't many options there to make it a good race. The Bayern Rundfahrt could be so great, and never, ever is.

This could be a good race though. According to Quäl dich!, Winklmoos-Alm is 4,7km and has a vertical gain of 440m, which I make 9,4%. That's a Peña Cabarga type climb, albeit a bit shorter. The finish is at a ski station, most known for cross country I think? Evi Sachenbacher-Stehle's from there. The gaps that open up from that will not be enough to be totally decisive, but they balance out the ITT, which at mid length will keep this competitive. Here's the profile:
893_977_gradient_600_450.gif


I think this could be a good profile for action. The long steep stretches at the bottom will hopefully mean that the bunch gets shredded early on in the climb, but the steepest stretch - 18-19% - is around a kilometre from the end, which means there's ample time for gaps to be created at that kind of gradient.

The third stage looks to end on a couple of laps of a small hill. I don't think there's likely to be much in the way of gaps here, however the stage is long enough that fatigue could play into things. I think nobody who is realistically anticipated to compete for the win with both a 25km TT and Winklmoosalm in the race is likely to lose more than a couple of seconds in Neusäß though.

It has turned into a classic sort of design of a 5-day race: a couple of sprints, a stage for the puncheur, a stage for the climber and a stage for the time triallist. While we could tighten up the design of the stages depending on hosts, and could toughen up a couple of the stages (maybe make one of the sprint stages a true tough rouleur's kind of stage), this is the first step to making the race a true all rounder's race and making it something worthy of its name.
 
Aug 16, 2013
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The programme for JD Atapuma, as it is now;

Tour de San Luis, Tirreno-Adriatico, Pais Vasco, AGR, (FW), LBL, Criterium Dauphiné.

And he will likely ride the Tour, in service of TJ. But Tejay will suck, so Atapuma for a top 10 in the Tour!;)
 
Apr 2, 2010
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maltiv said:
EBH will start in Mallorca this season, no TDU this time (thank God). Probably followed by Oman or Algarve. This year he'll also do T-A (no bull**** altitude camp). Moreover, they'll significantly reduce the amount of training in December this year, compared to last year, due to every non-alien Sky rider becoming severely overtrained.

He also says that his main goal is still Paris-Roubaix, which is quite absurd...

The thing is though Maltiv, and I agree that it is absurd given his past performances, but what should a rider like EBH target if not the cobble classics?

I guess MSR should rather be his main target but he hasn't exactly been great there either (distance a problem?). What he probably needs is a change of team so that he can go stage hunting during week long and three week tours.
 
Apr 2, 2010
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Gloin22 said:
Vuelta after the Tour ?

Doesn't say but it has to be a possibility, perhaps riding it as preparation for the worlds/Lombardia. Sky riders (and let's face it the vast majority of riders) don't have a good record of doing well in back to back grand tours.
 
Dec 13, 2012
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Greipel confirms hes doing both the Giro and the Tour, I think this is excellent news as it gives Cav some serious completion in the Giro next year because last year he had it all is own way. While Im a fan of Cav and think he is undoubtedly the best sprinter in the back Greipel's presences makes for some compelling action. Looking forward to seeing both go at it in Dublin.
 
Mar 13, 2009
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By contrast, Jürgen Van den Broeck:

Tour de San Luis
Tour of Oman
Tirreno-Adriatico
Volta a Catalunya
Vuelta al País Vasco
Amstel Gold Race
Flèche Wallone
Liège-Bastogne-Liège
Critérium du Dauphiné
Tour de France

http://biciciclismo.es/
 
Aug 19, 2011
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Christian said:
By contrast, Jürgen Van den Broeck:

Tour de San Luis
Tour of Oman
Tirreno-Adriatico
Volta a Catalunya
Vuelta al País Vasco
Amstel Gold Race
Flèche Wallone
Liège-Bastogne-Liège
Critérium du Dauphiné
Tour de France

http://biciciclismo.es/

let's hope, let's all hope he can end this season without problems
 
Oct 26, 2010
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Christian said:
Maxime Monfort leader of Lotto at Giro and Vuelta :eek:

Even he himself can't believe it:

"When I received the program from the staff I was a bit shocked, but now I have the motivation to go for the Top-10 in the Giro and Vuelta"

http://cyclismactu.net/news-2014-maxime-monfort-ne-sera-pas-aligne-sur-le-tour-37346.html
Monfort is a bit like Rui Costa and Kreuziguer: they are good enough climbers to go for GC but they are better suited to the Tour climbs, rather than the steep, irregular climbs of the Giro/Vuelta. Anyway, under the right circumstances he can probably pull off a double top15, getting some decent WT points and giving his team something to do, instead of the usual stage hunting.
 
Aug 5, 2010
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Monfort is imo a bit underrated. Must be because he seems to lack a bit in terms of ambition.

I think he can get top 10 placings both at the Giro and at the Vuelta.
 
Jun 7, 2010
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trevim said:
Monfort is a bit like Rui Costa and Kreuziguer: they are good enough climbers to go for GC but they are better suited to the Tour climbs, rather than the steep, irregular climbs of the Giro/Vuelta. Anyway, under the right circumstances he can probably pull off a double top15, getting some decent WT points and giving his team something to do, instead of the usual stage hunting.

6th in the Vuelta, 8th on the Angliru.

I think a double top 15 would not need much luck to achieve. He was 16th in the Tour and Vuelta in 2012 and that did not look like Monfort in his best
 
Aug 5, 2010
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roundabout said:
6th in the Vuelta, 8th on the Angliru.

I think a double top 15 would not need much luck to achieve. He was 16th in the Tour and Vuelta in 2012 and that did not look like Monfort in his best

Yup pretty much what i think too.
 
Oct 26, 2010
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roundabout said:
6th in the Vuelta, 8th on the Angliru.

I think a double top 15 would not need much luck to achieve. He was 16th in the Tour and Vuelta in 2012 and that did not look like Monfort in his best
Maybe I underrated him a bit, considering his usual domestique status in the last couple of years. Still, he's a rather unspectacular rider.
 
Mar 13, 2009
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6th in the Vuelta was pretty amazing for Monfort. With the right parcours he could repeat it, though as has been pointed out it would have to be not too many steep irregular climbs, and more TT.

Unspectacular rider, but great person and great team mate I think