2014 Tour de France Stage 4: Le Touquet-Paris-Plage / Lille Métropole: 163km, flat

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Hugo Koblet said:
That would be in the Giro, not Suisse. Also, Kittel has almost no chance of winning the green jersey. Sagan winning that one is the most certain thing this Tour.

Other than that I agree that only bad luck beats Kittel at the moment.

You are probably right and Kittel just said that he is only interested in stage wins. Sagan can pick up points on intermediate stages as well while is not even interested in intermediate sprints. Actually Andy not finishing the Tour was the sure bet and that's already happened. Sagan second.