Re:
Libertine Seguros said:
Porte doing well here is not surprising because he's almost always gone well in MTTs. As for saying Froome's a bit behind, the point is that the Grand Départ is still a month away. Saying Porte belongs a tier above Pinot (who's podiumed the Tour) and Aru (who's won a GT and podiumed two others) when his GT record in the GC is still not any better than Paolo Bettini's is jumping the gun big-time. He's never shown the recovery to do it consistently over 3 weeks and has always had a jour sans that's hurt him along the way to date; he needs to show he can erase that issue and being on stupendous form for the Dauphiné isn't always ideal if you can't hold it all the way to the end of the upcoming GT. This is why going from the Ardennes to the Giro has always been a difficult challenge in recent years, because late mountain stages can often see somebody who was in form early running out of steam.
I think people are misinterpreting SeriousSam and my posts.
If only Pinot Aru and Porte turned up to the start line of a GT, I would certainly rate both Aru and Pinot's chances of winning considerably more than Porte's chances, because of Porte's tendency to have a couple of awful days, which you cannot afford in a grand tour.
But the point is, when Contador Froome or Quintana turn up, assuming none of them crash out/get ill/DQ/whatever, Pinot and Aru simply aren't capable of matching those 3 on the climbs or the TTs (well Contador and Froome in the TT at least). Porte, however, is capable of both. So while, in all likelihood, Porte will have a couple of bad days and drop out of contention, he is still more likely than Aru and Pinot to win the GT, considering he's the only one of the 3 that currently has the ability to match the big 3.