2016 Giro d'Italia - Stage 10 Campi Bisenzio - Sestola 219km

[Tonton]

Re: 2016 Giro d'Italia - Stage 10 Campi Bisenzio - Sestola 2

Agree with Gigs_98, and/but I think that Nibali will go for it.

 

[Escarabajo]

I can already see some guys going ballistic tomorrow. I can feel it!

 

[BigMac]

Battaglin.

 

[yaco]

My guess is there will be time gaps between GC guys - Winner from a breakaway.

 

[Rollthedice]

It will be the continuation of a beautiful friendship between Movistar and Astana which started with the elimination of Dumoulin. The next target is Landa and this time Astana will send somebody up the road followed by the attacks.

 

[rune1107]

Re: 2016 Giro d'Italia - Stage 10 Campi Bisenzio - Sestola 2

Fuglsang to attack on the penultimate climb, and Nibali catching up on the descent. Winner from the the break, and Astana gaining 20 secs on the GC guys.

 

[SeriousSam]

Re: 2016 Giro d'Italia - Stage 10 Campi Bisenzio - Sestola 2

Here's how the rest of the Giro might play out.

Nibali and Valverde attempting to gap Landa on stages like this one, without much success.

Then Landani going full *** in the very hard mountain stages.

 

[Climbing]

Landa will drop on Pian del Falco, then Astana/Moviestar will push to distance him.
Breakaway for the stage win though.

 

[Ataraxus]

Re: 2016 Giro d'Italia - Stage 10 Campi Bisenzio - Sestola 2

Fuglsang to attack on the penultimate climb, and Nibali catching up on the descent. Winner from the the break, and Astana gaining 20 secs on the GC guys.

That is the most plausible Astana tactic to me as well.
But Fuglsang hasn't impressed me in the last two stages. I doubt he will create a gap in the last hard 4 km of pian del Falco, which will be ridden very hard by the group of favourites too.

 

[Valv.Piti]

Re: 2016 Giro d'Italia - Stage 10 Campi Bisenzio - Sestola 2

Fuglsang to attack on the penultimate climb, and Nibali catching up on the descent. Winner from the the break, and Astana gaining 20 secs on the GC guys.

That is the most plausible Astana tactic to me as well.
But Fuglsang hasn't impressed me in the last two stages. I doubt he will create a gap in the last hard 4 km of pian del Falco, which will be ridden very hard by the group of favourites too.

He did have a problem with his gears tho. The most plausible outcome would have been him finishing with the favourites group considering he just got up, then had the problem but managed to get up again before Valverde upping the pace once more.
And his TT's have been mediocre the last many years, so I wouldn't put too much stock into that. Lets see tomorrow.

 

[Rollthedice]

Re: 2016 Giro d'Italia - Stage 10 Campi Bisenzio - Sestola 2

Fuglsang to attack on the penultimate climb, and Nibali catching up on the descent. Winner from the the break, and Astana gaining 20 secs on the GC guys.

That is the most plausible Astana tactic to me as well.
But Fuglsang hasn't impressed me in the last two stages. I doubt he will create a gap in the last hard 4 km of pian del Falco, which will be ridden very hard by the group of favourites too.

Then it's up to il capitano, may the legs be with him.

 

[Cance > TheRest]

Re: 2016 Giro d'Italia - Stage 10 Campi Bisenzio - Sestola 2

Fuglsang to attack on the penultimate climb, and Nibali catching up on the descent. Winner from the the break, and Astana gaining 20 secs on the GC guys.

That is a very likely Astana tactic, especially now that Fuglsang has lost a little ground in GC, the other favourites will allow him to make a such move. However, it's still up to Nibali to actually get a reasonable gap to the others, which could be difficult on the del Falco descent when it's a quite short distance.

 

[Laplaz]

The stage lasts 6 hours probably, quite long, after a rest day there could be carnage.

 

[HelloDolly]

I expect a few GC guys losing big time tomorrow ...but there are still a lot of GC guys in contention

I think it will be a breakaway who wins ...a strong rider who rides an Ardennes well , who is far dwon on GC and whose team does not have a GC contender ??

 

[HelloDolly]

Maybe Pippo Pozzatto in one final hurrah

 

[Ataraxus]

Re:

The stage lasts 6 hours probably, quite long, after a rest day there could be carnage.

Ktujswijk and Amador will smell pink. Valeverde will smell stage win at least. May the force be with the NL Jumbo and Movistar domestiques for the fast pace before the climb.

 

[The Barb]

Re: 2016 Giro d'Italia - Stage 10 Campi Bisenzio - Sestola 2

Nibali's descending is overrated.

Nibali descends very well for a lighter GC rider but no better than someone like Valverde. In a stage like this the only way he could get away from a group of GC riders on a descent would be by taking huge risks - which he will never do when he can back himself to win without taking risks.

 

[Rollthedice]

Re: 2016 Giro d'Italia - Stage 10 Campi Bisenzio - Sestola 2

Nibali's descending is overrated.

Nibali descends very well for a lighter GC rider but no better than someone like Valverde. In a stage like this the only way he could get away from a group of GC riders on a descent would be by taking huge risks - which he will never do when he can back himself to win without taking risks.

For someone who won a monument by attacking and distancing everybody including Valverde on the descent, I wouldn't say he's overrated. But indeed, in a stage race when it is not decisive there is no point of going at the limit. With his experience I'm sure he'll take the right decision.

 

[The Barb]

Re: 2016 Giro d'Italia - Stage 10 Campi Bisenzio - Sestola 2

Nibali's descending is overrated.

Nibali descends very well for a lighter GC rider but no better than someone like Valverde. In a stage like this the only way he could get away from a group of GC riders on a descent would be by taking huge risks - which he will never do when he can back himself to win without taking risks.

For someone who won a monument by attacking and distancing everybody including Valverde on the descent, I wouldn't say he's overrated. But indeed, in a stage race when it is not decisive there is no point of going at the limit. With his experience I'm sure he'll take the right decision.

You make a fair correction. I should have clarified with reference to Grand Tours.

 

[Mr.White]

Valverde could pull similar ride like in stage 8, he likes that penultimate climb and descent and he's usually very good after the rest day. Landa will be the main target this time.

 

[Zypherov]

Looks like a perfect day for a breakaway. Can't see much change in the overall.

 

[Samamba]

Re:

I think it will be a breakaway who wins ...a strong rider who rides an Ardennes well , who is far dwon on GC and whose team does not have a GC contender ??

You're describing Wellens

 

[Dekker_Tifosi]

Re:

It will be the continuation of a beautiful friendship between Movistar and Astana which started with the elimination of Dumoulin. The next target is Landa and this time Astana will send somebody up the road followed by the attacks.

And in the end Kruijswijk is the laughing third without a team.

(wishful thinking, but who cares)

 

[Geraint Too Fast]

Firsanov epic solo victory incoming.

 

[Hedebooo]

De Marchi, Wellens, Txurruka, and Betancur to fight for stage win on this one