2016 predictions

[staubsauger]

Re:

Arredondo: Aspin from that side is actually decently hard. The climb itself is rough enough to reduce the field to 5 or even less, it just depends on how much Sky will invest (I dont think too much).

I say 15-20 too arrive at the top.

Froome always proves a point in his first real race of the season. Same with Contador normally. It ain't gonna be different this time around.

The question is whether someone like Aru is gonna be in competitive shape or in just in training-mode instead. Same for Bardet. Although we saw on Hazallanas there's still a league between him and those two big stars.

 

[Valv.Piti]

Re: Re:

Arredondo: Aspin from that side is actually decently hard. The climb itself is rough enough to reduce the field to 5 or even less, it just depends on how much Sky will invest (I dont think too much).

I say 15-20 too arrive at the top.

Froome always proves a point in his first real race of the season. Same with Contador normally. It ain't gonna be different this time around.

The question is whether someone like Aru is gonna be in competitive shape or in just in training-mode instead. Same for Bardet. Although we saw on Hazallanas there's still a league between him and those two big stars.

I suppose you mean first real mountain stage of the race.

But Im highly impressed with the fact that you can predict that with 100% certainty. The 2 time he has done it, in the Tour, has been on 2 hard MTF's, not Aspin followed by a descent

 

[Eric10]

Down Under: Porte
Paris-Nice: Kwiatkowski
Tirreno: Landa
Catalunya: Rodríguez
Pais Vasco: Quintana
Romandie: Froome
Dauphiné: Contador
Suisse: Dumoulin

Giro: 1. Nibali 2. Majka 3. Valverde
Tour: 1. Contador 2. Froome 3. Quintana
Vuelta: 1. Quintana 2. Landa 3.Rodriguez

Strade: Stybar
Sanremo: Sagan
Flanders: Kristoff
Roubaix: Cancellara
Amstel: Gilbert
Flèche: Alaphilippe
Liège: Valverde
Lombardia: Dan Martin

Olympic TT: Tony Martin
Olympic RR: Nibali

 

[staubsauger]

Re: Re:

Arredondo: Aspin from that side is actually decently hard. The climb itself is rough enough to reduce the field to 5 or even less, it just depends on how much Sky will invest (I dont think too much).

I say 15-20 too arrive at the top.

Froome always proves a point in his first real race of the season. Same with Contador normally. It ain't gonna be different this time around.

The question is whether someone like Aru is gonna be in competitive shape or in just in training-mode instead. Same for Bardet. Although we saw on Hazallanas there's still a league between him and those two big stars.

I suppose you mean first real mountain stage of the race.

But Im highly impressed with the fact that you can predict that with 100% certainty. The 2 time he has done it, in the Tour, has been on 2 hard MTF's, not Aspin followed by a descent

First real / meaningful stage race. Like T-A 2013, RdS 2015, Oman ... But yeah Aspin followed by a descent might be the chance for others to caught him out instead. The early season races normally ain't raced too tactically compared to the grand tours later on. That's why I'm positive about some action.

Aspin + descent sounds like a good deal for Bardet as well.

 

[Arredondo]

Re:

Arredondo: Aspin from that side is actually decently hard. The climb itself is rough enough to reduce the field to 5 or even less, it just depends on how much Sky will invest (I dont think too much).

I say 15-20 too arrive at the top.

It's indeed harder then the 'normal' side, but it's still Aspin. I mean, how hard can it be?

 

[jens_attacks]

Check what ricco did on aspin last time it was raced
Without a doubt, froome will attack
In my opinion nairo will lose time there.

Aru and contador 1-2

Easy money

 

[Arredondo]

Re:

Check what ricco did on aspin last time it was raced
Without a doubt, froome will attack
In my opinion nairo will lose time there.

Aru and contador 1-2

Easy money

They did Aspin plenty of times after that Ricco-thing

 

[jens_attacks]

Not so close to the finish, they didn't.

 

[LaFlorecita]

Re:

Check what ricco did on aspin last time it was raced
Without a doubt, froome will attack
In my opinion nairo will lose time there.

Aru and contador 1-2

Easy money

I hope you are right

 

[damian13ster]

Tour Down Under: Matthews
Paris-Nice: Porte
Tirreno: Kwiatkowski
Catalunya: Porte
Pais Vasco: Contador
Romandie: Spilak
Dauphiné: Froome
Tour de Suisse: TJ

Il Giro: Nibali, Landa, Uran
Le Tour: Froome, Quintana, Contador
La Vuelta: Contador, Purito

Strade Bianche: Sagan
Sanremo: Sagan
Flanders: Kwiatkowski
Roubaix: Boonen
Amstel: Kwiatkowski
La Flèche: Valverde
LBL: Valverde
Clasica San Sebastian: Gilbert
Il Lombardia: Majka

Olympic TT: Dumoulin
Olympic RR: Kwiatkowski

Well that would be one hell of a year for Kwiatkowski!

I am his fan so bit biased It is all doable with TA route though. Olympics I can see him performing well in. Not the best climber, but he handles distance fairly well and is terrific on a downhill. So it will take only small improvement to his climbing to be one of the main contenders. I can see that happening, although it will be tricky since his upper body is already climber-like but his legs are massive so he needs to somehow lose some weight there without much loss in power. Will be very gradual process

 

[Brullnux]

I think Flanders might be a bit hard atm. If you look at guys like Fabian GVA, Kristoff Degenkolb, Vanmarcke and sagan are all bigger and more powerful than him. He'll have the same problem as Valverde, and if he does that well than the Olympic RR might be out of the question.

 

[Amsterdam]

Down Under: Gerrans
Paris-Nice: Thomas
Tirreno: Nibali
Catalunya: Dan Martin
Pais Vasco: Contador
Romandie: Froome
Dauphiné: Froome
Suisse: Thomas

Giro: 1. Nibali 2. Uran 3. Landa
Tour: 1. Contador 2. Quintana 3. Froome
Vuelta: 1. Landa 2.Contador 3.Quintana

Strade: Sagan
Sanremo: Degenkolb
E3: Sagan
GW: Sagan
Flanders: Stybar
Roubaix: Vanmarcke
Amstel: Matthews
Flèche: Dan Martin
Liège: Dan Martin
Lombardia: Bardet

Olympic TT: Dumoulin
Olympic RR: Uran

Worlds TT: Martin
Worlds RR: Kristoff

 

[magnolia]

My prediction is that Zakarin and Geraint Thomas will be the winners is many one-week tours.

 

[May0maniac]

Re:

My prediction is that Zakarin and Geraint Thomas will be the winners is many one-week tours.

Zakarin's big goal seems to be the Giro, so Spilak will go for the one week races, business as usual.
I don't know what Geraint will do, maybe he'll get a podium in a minor one week races, maybe he'll destroy everyone in Andorra just like his idol Ullrich, who knows.

 

[Tornado Tom]

Down Under: Vakoc
Paris-Nice: Thomas
Tirreno: Van Garderen
Catalunya: Bardet
Pais Vasco: Kwiatkowski
Romandie: Lopez M.A.
Dauphiné: Contador
Suisse: Fuglsang

Giro: 1. Landa 2. Pozzovivo 3. Chavez
Tour: 1. Quintana 2. Contador 3. Pinot
Vuelta: 1. Purito 2. Landa 3. Rosa

Strade: Kwiatkowski
Sanremo: Demare
Flanders: Vanmarcke
Roubaix: Cancellara
Amstel: Sagan
Flèche: Vuilelrmoz
Liège: Rodriguez
Lombardia: Rosa

Olympic TT: 1. Martin 2. Dennis 3. Kiriyenka
Olympic RR: 1. Valverde 2. Martin Daniel 3. Aru
Worlds TT: 1. Martin 2. Malori 3. Dennis
Worlds RR: 1. Kittel 2. Demare 3. Cavendish

WT: Sagan
Most wins: Kittel
CQ ranking #1: Valverde

 

[Tonton]

Re:

Down Under: Vakoc
Paris-Nice: Thomas
Tirreno: Van Garderen
Catalunya: Bardet
Pais Vasco: Kwiatkowski
Romandie: Lopez M.A.
Dauphiné: Contador
Suisse: Fuglsang

Giro: 1. Landa 2. Pozzovivo 3. Chavez
Tour: 1. Quintana 2. Contador 3. Pinot
Vuelta: 1. Purito 2. Landa 3. Rosa

Strade: Kwiatkowski
Sanremo: Demare
Flanders: Vanmarcke
Roubaix: Cancellara
Amstel: Sagan
Flèche: Vuilelrmoz
Liège: Rodriguez
Lombardia: Rosa

Olympic TT: 1. Martin 2. Dennis 3. Kiriyenka
Olympic RR: 1. Valverde 2. Martin Daniel 3. Aru
Worlds TT: 1. Martin 2. Malori 3. Dennis
Worlds RR: 1. Kittel 2. Demare 3. Cavendish

WT: Sagan
Most wins: Kittel
CQ ranking #1: Valverde

That would be great .

 

[Tornado Tom]

Re:

Down Under: Vakoc
Paris-Nice: Thomas
Tirreno: Van Garderen
Catalunya: Bardet
Pais Vasco: Kwiatkowski
Romandie: Lopez M.A.
Dauphiné: Contador
Suisse: Fuglsang

Giro: 1. Landa 2. Pozzovivo 3. Chavez
Tour: 1. Quintana 2. Contador 3. Pinot
Vuelta: 1. Purito 2. Landa 3. Rosa

Strade: Kwiatkowski
Sanremo: Demare
Flanders: Vanmarcke
Roubaix: Cancellara
Amstel: Sagan
Flèche: Vuilelrmoz
Liège: Rodriguez
Lombardia: Rosa

Olympic TT: 1. Martin 2. Dennis 3. Kiriyenka
Olympic RR: 1. Valverde 2. Martin Daniel 3. Aru
Worlds TT: 1. Martin 2. Malori 3. Dennis
Worlds RR: 1. Kittel 2. Demare 3. Cavendish

WT: Sagan
Most wins: Kittel
CQ ranking #1: Valverde

Demare!?!?!?

 

[Brullnux]

Fari Play. And you have Thomas for Paris-Nice too.

 

[PremierAndrew]

Sagan for Amstel?

 

[Brullnux]

Re:

Sagan for Amstel?

It's possible, he was 3rd in 2012 and he looks better this season, and the finish line has move back a couple of km too.

 

[Tonton]

Impressive, Tornado Tom ...

 

[SKSemtex]

So who is the winner for 2016 prediction and reality? Anybody with 10 or more correct predictions?

Tour Down Under GERRANS
Paris - Nice THOMAS
Tirreno - Adriatico VAN AVERMAET
Milano - Sanremo DEMARE
Volta Ciclista a Catalunya QUINTANA
E3 Harelbeke KWIATKOWSKI
Gent - Wevelgem SAGAN
Ronde van Viaanderen SAGAN
Vuelta Ciclista al Pais Vasco CONTADOR
Paris - Roubaix HAYMAN
Amstel Gold Race GASPAROTTO
La Fleche Wallonne VALVERDE
Liege - Bastogne - Liege POELS
Tour de Romandie QUINTANA
Giro d'ltalia NIBALI
Criterium du Dauphine FROOME
Tour de Suisse LOPEZ
Tour de France FROOME
Tour de Pologne WELLENS
Clasica Ciclista San Sebastian MOLLEMA
Vuelta a Espana QUINTANA
Cyclassics Hamburg EWAN
Bretagne Classic - Ouest-France NAESEN
Grand Prix Cycliste de Quebec SAGAN
Grand Prix Cycliste de Montreal VAN AVERMAET
Eneco Tour TERPSTRA
Lombardia CHAVES

Olympic TT: CANCELLARA
Olympic RR: VAN AVERMAET

Worlds TT: MARTIN
Worlds RR: SAGAN

 

[Hugo Koblet]

Well, I had 7/23 so probably not me

My correct guesses were:

Dauphiné: Froome
Giro: Nibali
Tour: Froome
Vuelta: Quintana
Flanders: Sagan
Liège: Valverde
WCTT: Tony

 

[Netserk]

Poor Poels.

 

[Gigs_98]

I only have 5/23

Paris-Nice: Thomas
Pais Vasco: Contador
Giro: Nibali
Dauphine: Froome
WC TT: Martin