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2016 Vuelta a España, stage 10: Lugones > Lagos de Covadonga

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Jun 11, 2014
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My sixth sense tells me tomorrow we will see Tinkoff/movistar attack from Fito - and an GC attack in the bottom of LdC.
Quin/Bertie to share 1/2 - Froome/Valvede 3/4 30 sec after - Chaves further 15-20 behind.

OK wake me up from my dream
 
Etixx may chase but they can't seriously expect De La Cruz to hold Red after tomorrow.

If I was Quintana I would get my team to chase, he is strongest right now and could do with the bonus seconds, as well as the feeling of a stage win obviously.
 
IMO, GC contenders could rather want to keep some power for the final climb, so GC teams will easy let go breakaway.
Unless someone from top 20 will be in it.
My shot for winner is Meintjes or De Gent
 
Re:

Dazed and Confused said:
Surely the GC must fight for the stagewin here.

On one hand, the problem is that one team is clearly stronger than the others and is totally focused on GC. Hence, Movistar will not burn themselves out and the other teams won't help them to then be outsprinted by Valverde or outclimbed by Quintana. On the other hand, the next day is a rest day (so Movistar might be more motivated to go for the stage win) and the start doesn't look too difficult (so it should be easier to control a break). Also, Etixx have the leader's jersey and so presumably will at least control the pace when a break establishes itself. If the break is not that strong, then I expect Movistar to make a really strong pace coming into the climbs, otherwise I think they will err on the side of caution.

Why? From Movistar's point of view, Quintana and/or Valverde need to gain time on Froome before the time trial. Quintana seems to be their best bet, but this finish seems to be more favourable to Valverde, who has finished every stage (including the TTT) in the same time as the Preying Mantis and is ahead of him due to time bonuses.

There will only be minor differences between the main GC contenders (a group of 6-8 of them separated by a handful of seconds). Whether anybody from the breakaway wins is a toss up.
 
Re:

Robert5091 said:
Sounds crazy but this says Froome to me - if he's recovered from Saturday. Bertie needs to claw back some more time.
It's not a bad shout, it is hard to get away in the final 6km and he has a good sprint, better than Contador and Quintana for sure. But if Valverde is still at the front as well he is the favorite surely.
 
Movistar's currently in really good position. Quintana's the strongest man in the race, Valverde's the strongest of non-leaders, so Sky shouldn't be able to respond to 1-2 attack the way they did in the Tour. Already today I thought Movi could shoot Valverde up the road and see how the train reacts, leaving Quintana to asses how to finish off the job.
I'm sure they know they should build up the advantage they already have.
 
Re: 2016 Vuelta a España, stage 10: Lugones > Lagos de Covad

Valv.Piti ftw. Either Quintana or Valverde to smack the rest of the GC contenders. It will de pend on whch one of the two makes the decisive move. The other will stick to Dawg's back wheel.
 
I will boycott the rest of the race if the break gets to fight it out again.
(Not really, but this is an annoying trend that needs to get addressed some way or another).

How? I know there have been many circumstances in TdF and this Vuelta which have played in the breaks favour, but its sorta depressing seeing this over and over again. If only it was 50/50.
 
Re:

Valv.Piti said:
I will boycott the rest of the race if the break gets to fight it out again.
(Not really, but this is an annoying trend that needs to get addressed some way or another).

How? I know there have been many circumstances in TdF and this Vuelta which have played in the breaks favour, but its sorta depressing seeing this over and over again. If only it was 50/50.

Basically every variable is fit for a worst case scenario. Theres like 8 of them
 
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Valv.Piti said:
I will boycott the rest of the race if the break gets to fight it out again.
(Not really, but this is an annoying trend that needs to get addressed some way or another).

How? I know there have been many circumstances in TdF and this Vuelta which have played in the breaks favour, but its sorta depressing seeing this over and over again. If only it was 50/50.

Think it's time for bigger teams ;)
 
Mar 13, 2015
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Re: 2016 Vuelta a España, stage 10: Lugones > Lagos de Covad

Tonton said:
Valv.Piti ftw. Either Quintana or Valverde to smack the rest of the GC contenders. It will de pend on whch one of the two makes the decisive move. The other will stick to Dawg's back wheel.

Exactly my thoughts. One of the Movistar's should gain time tomorrow. And I have a feeling Contador will lose time, I noticed today that Valverde quite easily opened up a gap on him and Froome had to help to close it
 
Re: Re:

Red Rick said:
Valv.Piti said:
I will boycott the rest of the race if the break gets to fight it out again.
(Not really, but this is an annoying trend that needs to get addressed some way or another).

How? I know there have been many circumstances in TdF and this Vuelta which have played in the breaks favour, but its sorta depressing seeing this over and over again. If only it was 50/50.

Basically every variable is fit for a worst case scenario. Theres like 8 of them

We got the rest day going for us, but the rest is pretty uphill. It should theoretically also be a lot easier to control when its flat, but..
 
Sep 29, 2013
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The truth is that depends of how each one feels and how they react to the first attacks, because if someone attacks early and 1 of the big 4 drops, then the climb can make big gaps, but if no one drops then they will mark each other waiting for the first to fall...

But Usually even when he loose Froome attacks, so i expect him to try and then Quintana to follow and pass him... Contador to me is something unknown... I expect he stay with them, but that depdends of how he´s form his... If he don´t loose time, then it will be a superb vuelta.

I just want action, the rest, may the better win...
 

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