2019 Giro d'Italia stage 9: Riccione - San Marino 34.7km ITT

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Conclusion before rest day 1: Roglic is in an excellent position, but he will be isolated in the high mountains, so the Giro is far from over. Nibali is less than two minutes behind; Astana and Movistar have the teams to send riders up the road and attack collectively. Coalitions with or against Roglic can also play a role. Hopefully there will be a lot of action in the final ten days.
 
A Roglic centric GC

GC# Name time-debit
2,Primoz Roglic 0s
4,José Rojas 43s
6,Andrey Amador 49s
7,Amaro Antunes 1:15s
10,Pello Bilbao 1:42s
11,Vincenzo Nibali 1:44s
12,Bauke Mollema 1:45s
13,Pieter Serry 1:57s
14,Bob Jungels 2:18s
16,Hugh John Carthy 2:46s
17,Davide Formolo 2:52s
18,Rafal Majka 2:53s
19,Sam Oomen 3:12s
22,Ilnur Zakarin 3:32s
23,Jan Polanc 3:34s
24,Simon Yates 3:46s
25,Tanel Kangert 4:01s
26,Pavel Sivakov 4:11s
27,Miguel Angel Lopez 4:29s
28,Esteban Chaves 4:30s
30,Mikel Landa 4:52s
31,Tao Geoghegan Hart 5:08s
 
I think this ITT sets things up very nicely for the mountains. All those climbers have to go bananas now to break Roglic, which is a scenario I really hoped for.

For today, I think the advantage Campenaerts had due to the weather and him being able to take a lot more risks actually played a bigger role than the seconds he lost due to the shitty bike change.

I wonder how much of the disastrous ITT from Lopez is due to the mechanical and therefore lost rhythm or if he was just bad today. Probably both.
 
So Roglic won as was thought, Yates has gone from a climber who can n't TT, to a TT-er who can n't climb, Superman & Landa are minutes down, but Nibali has done a very well paced TT. The voodoo is working well, but we'll have to wait and see how Roglic does on the really lumpy stages.
 
It's a pitty Yates couldn't climb up as quickly as expected, but a cluster of specialists has formed at a reasonable distance from Roglič, and there won't be De Plus to help. So, a lot of racing to come and the rest day at the perfect moment.
 
Re:

sir fly said:
It's a pitty Yates couldn't climb up as quickly as expected, but a cluster of specialists has formed at a reasonable distance from Roglič, and there won't be De Plus to help. So, a lot of racing to come and the rest day at the perfect moment.

I wonder how Sepp Kuss will do, with De Plus out he's probably expected to be the last man with Roglic. The original lineup with Gesink and De Plus would be super strong in the mountains, I'm guessing sending crucial helpers to crash prone classics is not the best idea. Before he went ill I even expected De Plus to end up top10 in the GC.

Meanwhile in Jumbo Visma camp:

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Re:

Son of Amsterhammer said:
On the one hand, two majorGC guys losing that much time makes it seem like a two horse race now. On their other, Yates and MAL will probably be waaay more aggressive, so it may make for a better race.

Yeah and with being 3+ minutes down the others won't chase right away when they attack, like they would if they were only a few seconds behind.
 
Re: 2019 Giro d'Italia stage 9: Riccione - San Marino 34.7km

So as it looks now, there's a whole bunch of guys fighting for one place on the podium. They'll need to cooperate otherwise Roglic can wheel suck to Verona, or Astana, MS & Movistar will need some good team tactics.

The irony is Yates is now in the same situation as last year - needs to gain a lot of time from climbing before an ITT.
 
All the mountains are yet to come. One bad day, and you can easily lose 5 minutes. Roglic's team is vulnerable as well.This is far from over, and I'm expecting strong teams to really push Roglic. If they don't, and start playing conservative for a podium spot or a top-5, then we all lose. Let's hope the giro delivers, ultimately (as it tends to do).
 
Re: 2019 Giro d'Italia stage 9: Riccione - San Marino 34.7km

A bit of a surprise for me: I expected Simon to do waaay better. It goes to show that one is better off keeping his mouth shut before the race begins. The "everybody can have a day off" self-reassuring comments are exactly that: self-reassuring (we Tibo fans know that all too well :eek: ). At this level, one bad day is one too many. Roglic has a nice cushion and one ITT left. As some suggest, it could make today's "losers" more aggressive and bring us a great show. But I'm afraid that, as usual, some will soon begin protecting their top-5, top-10 and chase behind the attackers...while Roglic enjoys the tempo.

Great job Primoz: the guy delivers. Question marks exist for Nibali, but so far, so good. Vai Vincenzo!
 
Re: Re:

Anderis said:
Lequack said:
I wonder how Sepp Kuss will do, with De Plus out he's probably expected to be the last man with Roglic.
I would rather bet on Tolhoek. Kuss hasn't been in great form this year.

I agree. Kuss was an afterthought for this race after a difficult start to the season.

If you're relying on Tolhoek then things are pretty grim but it might not matter if Roglic maintains this kind of form.

I don't think this Giro is over by a long shot.
 
Re: Re:

Squire said:
The Chicken said:
tobydawq said:
The Chicken said:
Eyeballs Out said:
Wonder if the weather over the past week has resulted in one or two riders getting the sniffles

Why would it? :confused:

Because you tend to get a cold when the weather is bad? :confused:

LOL there is zero evidence for that. :lol: One gets a cold from a virus, not the weather. You guys need to stop listening to the likes of Oliver Naesen.
Your body gets cold -> immune system is diminished -> easier to pick up illness. That's basic primary school medical knowledge. Ask José Rujano.
This.
Been told that by Doctors as well. Including my Mom, my Grandma and her Mom as well! :)
 
Re: Re:

Anderis said:
Lequack said:
I wonder how Sepp Kuss will do, with De Plus out he's probably expected to be the last man with Roglic.
I would rather bet on Tolhoek. Kuss hasn't been in great form this year.
Exept for Utah, when has he ever been in "great" form though? Jumbo hired him based on one stage in the ToC two or three years ago. But other than that an one or two sections in last years Vuelta, i 'm still waiting for the hype to materialize. He's turning 25 this summer.
 
Re:

Red Rick said:
Tolhoek was definitely impressive in the Tour last year, but I don't think he's good enough for the kind of work you expect from a last man for a GT favorite who has to defend the jersey.

Yeah meanwhile both Gesink and De Plus were showing great form this season, especially in the classics before the Giro. I even read in an interview Gesink said he hasn't been training this hard ever since he went to the GC himself as the leader. But if they all go to the Tour that will be some team though to rival Ineos.