Cance > TheRest said:
mavmav said:
Simurgh said:
Broccolidwarf said:
Weird you all want to declare the GC over, despite the peloton only having ridden 1 proper mountain stage - bunch of drama queens in here
Not even a proper mountain stage and Thomas still won ahead of everybody else

It's just a repeat of the last 7 years bar 2014 (which in essence was the same but with Kazakh blue colors). And this year with Froome out and Thomas not looking great and crashing in the spring; it was the first time since 2014 that SKY/INEOS looked like they could be dethroned. The race is not over, no. Crashes, mechanicals, some might get caught in one way or the other, off-day and so on. I bet though, that the race is a lot closer to be considered over than a few hours ago. Thomas will gain around 1 minute on everyone else on the ITT, and so will have a buffer of 2-3 minutes his closest pretend..competitors. I understand the fact that there are a whole lot of stages to go and a whole lot of stuff can happen, but looking back the last 7 years, history shows that except the occasional off day (Froome 2017 at Peyragudes, cross winds 2013, Alpe d'Huez 2015 e.g.), INEOS/SKY only loses time to those they want to lose time to.
By the way, please don't mention Kruijswijk and Buchmann as (what I presume) credible challengers to INEOS. They aren't. Podium contenders definitely! But challengers for the win, no way. Even though I'd love for them to prove me wrong!

(imo jury's still out on Bernal and a podium, will see how well he fares on the time trial before judging).
So what did Pinot, Porte and Uran and Fuglsang ever do in a GT that Kruijswijk didn’t? None of those 4 ever challenged for a win or challenged SKY. If kruiswijk isn’t a credible challenger (which is a defendable position) those 4 aren’t either.
Is Kruijswijk a consistent GT rider? Yes. Could he win the Tour if INEOS have no bad luck? No.
The answers to those questions are different if you take the three aforementioned riders, because their top level is simply higher than Kruijswijk's.
Therefore, it is fair to say that Kruijswijk is not as credible of a
challenger as the other three riders, even if he's the safer bet for a top 5-7.
Kruijswijk arguably is a better general classification rider than Pinot in fact!
Kruijswijk would've won the 2016 Giro d'Italia while Pinot never challenged for the pink jersey in 2017 & 2018!
Kruijswijk was 7th in his breakthrough grand tour, the 2011 Giro d'Italia, a brutal one, while Pinot was 10th in his breakthrough 2012 Tour de France, wining a stage
Kruijswijk placed 5th at the 2018 Tour de France in a depth field, while Pinot got 3rd at the 2014 Tour de France, when Froome & Contador crashed out. So it's about equal.
Kruijswijk actually beat Pinot at the 2018 Vuelta a Espana finishing 4th. Ahead of the Frenchman in 6th position.
Kruijswijk was 3rd at the 2011 & 2017 Tour of Switzerland, winning a mountain stage up to Malbun in 2011. Pinot only finished 4th in 2015,but of course won the prestigious Rettenbachferner mtf.
He's a diesel climber, suited to high altitude climbing on long & regular cols as in this years Tour de France and has a much better time trial than Pinot.
The Dutchman always was the bigger challenger, as Pinot always would have needed to get rid of Kruijswijk in the Pyrenees & Alps to even be considered a podium.