2019 Tour de France, stage 12: Toulouse>Bagnères-de-Bigorre

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It looks like a breakaway stage obviously, but somehow my gut feeling is that i'm not so sure. If the break stays close-ish ineos' opponents might be interested in testing their legs and try to grab some time.
 
With the TT tomorrow and Tourmalet the day after, I do not expect GC action today.
Especially with an easy 30 k decent after the last climb.
Baring someone crashing or having a major crisis ofcourse ;)

Saturday and Sunday is where the GC guys want to make a difference..
 
The one thing that can upset the apple cart, is if Alaphilippe hits the break today, that would force the GC teams to keep him close, and allow for a lot of attacks from the peloton on the climbs.

But, I think he will take it easy today, the 3 following days are more important.
 
Re:

Broccolidwarf said:
The one thing that can upset the apple cart, is if Alaphilippe hits the break today, that would force the GC teams to keep him close, and allow for a lot of attacks from the peloton on the climbs.

But, I think he will take it easy today, the 3 following days are more important.
probably, but I think Wanty could try to get Meurisse in the break to take yellow. He is no real dangerman for GC of course, but if he manages to get up the road Quickstep wants to keep the jersey, it could become interesting
 
Re: Re:

search said:
Broccolidwarf said:
The one thing that can upset the apple cart, is if Alaphilippe hits the break today, that would force the GC teams to keep him close, and allow for a lot of attacks from the peloton on the climbs.

But, I think he will take it easy today, the 3 following days are more important.
probably, but I think Wanty could try to get Meurisse in the break to take yellow. He is no real dangerman for GC of course, but if he manages to get up the road Quickstep wants to keep the jersey, it could become interesting
He is nearly 4 minutes behind, and the first 130 k is easy for DQ to control...... I don't see it.
 
Re:

Broccolidwarf said:
The one thing that can upset the apple cart, is if Alaphilippe hits the break today, that would force the GC teams to keep him close, and allow for a lot of attacks from the peloton on the climbs.

But, I think he will take it easy today, the 3 following days are more important.
Mørkøv said on Danish television that they would try to defend the yellow jersey today. So their plan is to try to limit the size of the breakaway and hunt it down if there are soome guys high on GC present. Obviously implying that Ala would be in the bunch. Another point; who in the world would be willing to do some work in a breakaway group if Ala was there?
 
Re: Re:

vladimir said:
Broccolidwarf said:
The one thing that can upset the apple cart, is if Alaphilippe hits the break today, that would force the GC teams to keep him close, and allow for a lot of attacks from the peloton on the climbs.

But, I think he will take it easy today, the 3 following days are more important.
Mørkøv said on Danish television that they would try to defend the yellow jersey today. So their plan is to try to limit the size of the breakaway and hunt it down if there are soome guys high on GC present. Obviously implying that Ala would be in the bunch. Another point; who in the world would be willing to do some work in a breakaway group if Ala was there?
Yeah, you are right..... I was just stating an outside chance of something entertaining :D
 
Re: Re:

Broccolidwarf said:
search said:
Broccolidwarf said:
The one thing that can upset the apple cart, is if Alaphilippe hits the break today, that would force the GC teams to keep him close, and allow for a lot of attacks from the peloton on the climbs.

But, I think he will take it easy today, the 3 following days are more important.
probably, but I think Wanty could try to get Meurisse in the break to take yellow. He is no real dangerman for GC of course, but if he manages to get up the road Quickstep wants to keep the jersey, it could become interesting
He is nearly 4 minutes behind, and the first 130 k is easy for DQ to control...... I don't see it.
yeah, but that's what I mean. If they keep it this close, teams like Astana will go for the stage win from the peloton
 
Re:

Orbit501 said:
Pollit has been very lively trying to get in breaks. If he can still be in touch after the final climb then he's a big favourite I think.
People seem to underestimate the stages all the time. Many were seeing Ewan as a favourite for stage 3. A couple of years ago someone argued that Sagan was a favourite for a stage with decent mountain near the end just because it was ending on downhill. And now someone suggests Politt for a stage with two cat 1. climbs in the last 70k.

This just isn't going to happen unless an extraordinarily weak breakaway forms.
 

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