Alaphilippe vs MVDP vs WVA vs Fuglsang.
Nibali has no chance on this route.
Nibali has no chance on this route.
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Holy sh*t that's actually amazing. I think I like this one more than the original one. It's not really a pure climbers WC but I don't really like those anyway
I'd argue nobody you mentioned other than Fuglsang has a chance on that route
Seeing the contrast between Emilia and Il Lombardia last year, I think it's much harder for Roglic than ideal.
I actually quite fancy Dumoulin here. If the Dutch team goes all in on Van der Poel I'm gonna be so mad.
The underestimation of Alaphilippe on this board continues to astonish me. Yes, he cracked in LBL last year and in Innsbruck. No, that doesn't mean he has no chance here...
I don't think Roglic has the endurance for such a race, it's not his biggest strength. Last year he was flying in Emilia, but couldn't gap the other on the climbs in the Giro di Lombardia.
Pinot and Nibali are among the favourites and I wouldn't dismiss a few other guys either.
Van der Poel really was way better than I thought in Lombardia. Would not put it past him. Van Aert, if he has not given it all during the Tour, can do everything. Alaphilippe will see the route this evening and just walk over to Roglic to hand him his maillot jaune. But Fuglsang must be among the big, big favourites.
Btw, does anyone have an exact profile of the lap. I'd really like to see how hard that first unmarked climb is. That looks to have well over 100 m of altitude gain itself
Wait what? No they are the exact reason. The new LBL finale is very similar and the route all around way easier than this. So If that was too much for him why should this one not be?
Anyway I'll admit Alaphilippe does have a chance here I just don't think it's as big as it will be hyped up to be.
The difference between Il Lombardia and Worlds is, that MvdP will have a MUCH better team supporting him (if indeed they ride for him).
At worlds, the Dutch team will be one of the strongest, and one of only 10 teams with a full squad.
On the flip side of that, Roglic and Pogacar will be in trouble, because even with a full squad, the Slovenian team can probably only count on Mohoric to have any longevity in the race.
Support isn't a cure for not being one of the best 20 climbers in the race on a climbing course.
The French will say Alaphilippe, the Dutch will say van der Poel, the Italians and Red Rick will say Nibali and I say it's Kämna vs. Schachmann.
In 2019, he peaked for Strade and MSR in March, he had a bad crash in País Vasco, and then he was just too good to not lose FW but he was on the downhill there, and then it became too much in Liege.
And in Innsbruck, I don't think he had the level of last year. Him being too tired to ride Lombardia also indicates that.
If he tries for GC in the Tour, he will not have many chances in Imola but if not he is one of the biggest favourites.
It's not long climbs, it's puncheur climbs, so it is more about having the strength to endure the many repetitions, than about being a good "proper" climber.
Yet they will all ignore that in fact this has Zoidl vs. Konrad written all over it.
Alaphillipe has a small chance if they soft pedal no way does anyone below his climbing have a shot on that route. Reeks of Nibali
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