- Apr 30, 2011
- 47,157
- 29,785
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Mollema or Skjeldmose in the break likely means that pink is defended. There's so few riders to keep an eye on that it should be easy enough for them to control the composition of the break. If Sivakov or Buitrago joins the break, it's not unlikely that other teams would help pulling them back.The stage is hard as hell to control. You have to climb up Mount Sirino, Viggiano and two more climbs. They need to burn the entire team to have a slim shot of staying two more days in pink. Even if they control the race, they have no real guaranteees Juanpe is going to keep the maglia. If the stage goes crazy hard, he is probably losing the jersey altogether.
On the other hand, you can send Bauke and/or Sklejmose in the break chasing the stage win and even try to trade one pink for another if the gap goes too big. There will be likely a better placed rider in GC than Bauke in the break, but guys like Martin, Foss... won't be given too much leeway from GC contenders anyways.
So I say send Bauke to the break and don't try too hard to protect the pink jersey.
My picks for the stage win: Narvaez, Pedrero, Cepeda, Valter, Gall.
