TommyGun said:
I bet Contador will continue to bleed small amounts of time until this weekend, maybe ending up with 1:15 - 1:30 down on Froome by the end of the week, but not more.
Then he will crush them all in the Alps... Froome will start to fade in third week, like he did in 2013 (Semnoz and Alpe d'Huez).
There are 3 stages where he can gain or loose time. Cobble, Bretagne (not as hard as Muy at all) and then the TTT. Tomorrow could be a lottery, but he won't loose more than 5 sec at most at bretagne. Tomorrow he ideally should be gaining a little time on froome, or at least in the same time. In the TTT, tinkoff-saxo have a really strong team compared to SKY, so they should be able to gain maybe 20-30 seconds there.
It could be status quo between Contador and Froome when they hit the mountains, maybe +/- 15 seconds in favour of one of them.
I don't think the gap will grow, unless Froome take time on Contador on the cobbles.