If it wasn't for stage 10 I would be very confident right now. Podium is a very realistic chance right now. But we need rain. And as Red Rick said, he is better than 2013. i think he is about the same level as 2011, just that they went easier on the climbs that year. But the positive thing is, his form seems to be improving day by day. A stage win on Alpe d'Huez and a podium finish would be nice. But if Froome has a problem, crashes or sth., everything could still be possible. They just need to get rid of Porte and Thomas.