FabulousCandelabra said:
So is Cav actually going all out this year for the TdF after making such a hard effort at the Giro? Or is Sky just biding their time to let everyone know they are going all in for Bradley?? I don't see how Cav can put so much into the Giro and then do his usual big TdF effort.. and then how will Sky support Bradley and Cav?? please someone inform me, I feel like I'm probably missing a few things here..
You are asking the million dollar question which is pretty hard to answer.
FabulousCandelabra said:
So is Cav actually going all out this year for the TdF after making such a hard effort at the Giro? Or is Sky just biding their time to let everyone know they are going all in for Bradley?? ..
This seems pretty definitive yet it was before the Giro which he probably thought he wouldnt complete.
http://www.cyclingnews.com/news/cavendish-i-will-finish-the-tour-de-france
Especially as earlier on in the year he did entertain such thoughts.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/2012/mar/16/mark-cavendish-tour-de-france-olympics
Yet IMO Cav has a lot of pride and the Tour means an awful lot to him and to everyone back home so he may want to continue.
One thing is for certain and that is that if he is in the green jersey he will not abandon and therefore as i see him getting the green jersey relatively early on I doubt he would abandon.
This is as Cav has too much pride to abandon whilst wearing a jersey and it would also not be reflected positively in Britain.
I am pretty certain that Sky will continue with the dual partnership they have said they will do at the tour, yet they may favour Wiggins slightly due to his impressive form, the fact that he has been the basis of Sky's existence, because it is the primary goal of his season (as opposed to with Cav) and of course because a British rider winning the Tour is incomparable to anything Cav can ever hope to achieve. Sky will certainly not pull the plug on Cav's support at the tour as this will serve to make them look stupid and will cause massive discontent within the ranks. Sky have a plan and they will not back out of it now.
FabulousCandelabra said:
I don't see how Cav can put so much into the Giro and then do his usual big TdF effort.. and then how will Sky support Bradley and Cav?? please someone inform me, I feel like I'm probably missing a few things here..
Well the question truly is how much did Cav really put into the Giro, in the past few years we have seen the climbers failing to combine Giro and Tours, yet I am unsure whether that relates to sprinters as well as they probably do not exert themselves to the extent the climbers do. Riding 21 days simultaneously over tough terrain is difficult yet I do believe that it is possible to do that and then carry on to the Tour as you generally find that sprinters are less fatigued than climbers and you have to remember that even if Cav is fatigued he will still be capable of sprinting at his top speeds, it will only be on the harder stuff where he will undoubtedly struggle.
Supporting Wiggins and Cav will be difficult yet not impossible it has been done before with Zabel etc yet in most of those instances the sprinters werent properly supported. Cav has shown he can win races without a leadout train and he will certainly have at least 2 riders (eisel, ebh)with him in the finale to lead him out.
Though in all likelihood he will have a full leadout as Sky demostrated with Henao and Uran in the Giro that they are very into making everyone work in the leadout and tbh I dont think it is that harmful as it keeps your riders out of danger from splits (albeit in danger of crashes). In terms of working it may very well be that Wiggins will be in a strong GC position early on so it may suit Sky to work and even if that isnt the case Sky will most likely work with their domestiques for Cav asides for possibly Froome/Porte, other riders like Rogers who are not that essential in the mountains will surely be made to work.
Of course there are a lot of other variables as well primarily the other sprinter teams, logically they should leave all the work to Cav's team, as he is the fastest sprinter, yet they may be unsure of Sky's commitment to Cav and has been shown recently they seem to ignoring logic and chasing, effectively giving Cav a free ride. Sky have been very free with their use of their domestiques so far this season yet I have a feeling they will not be to displeased if other teams do the work for them, yet of course they will in most likelihood also do a Liquigas at the Giro and BMC last year where those 2 teams were constantly at the front in order to keep their leaders out of trouble, so they may very well be able to kill 2 birds with one stone in that regard and of course the scenario will vary greatly depending on which team has the yellow as a stronger team who has an interest in keeping it yet not much GC aspirations (greenedge etc) will contribute a lot to the chasing and ease the bruden of Sky's considerably.