I Agree. Martin is one of the riders I've been keeping a close eye on in relation to his development as a rider over the past few years. He has promise for a Tour de France win, but not this year or next year. He still needs more experience (mainly as a serious overall contender at a 3 week race and as a team leader) and needs to develop a bit more to become an overall contender. Imo he should do the Giro and Vuelta next year (in order to gain experience and develop more), then go to the Tdf in 2015 where he would have a good chance of podium at least. If he were to win any stage I say Ax-3 is the stage, where he would win it in a sprint against riders like Froome, Contador, Valverde, Rodriguez etc. Top 10 is realistic this year, but top 5 is not. As for getting in a break, with Team Sky so controlling in races, that would never happen. They chase down breaks even if they aren't a threat nowadaysAfrank said:So, Stephen Roche thinks Dan Martin is capable of winning multiples stages plus maybe the overall this Tour.
Yes, because it's very likely that the peloton will let a 10 minute break get away up the road that includes Dan Martin. As we all know those kind of breaks occur all the time in the modern era of cycling.
Personally, I could see him taking a stage (not 3 though), winning the Tour however is stretching it IMO. He'd have to be very very lucky.