I can see Nibali only losing 30 seconds in the time trial. But no matter what Niba will try until its proven once and for all he cant win and that is likely to be just after finishing Angliru.
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The Giro is by far the least suited to Froome. Him winning is far from a certaintyAlpe d'Huez said:Froome can most certainly win the Giro, if he focuses on it as a priority. Team Sky's dominance would be the same there as in the Tour, and so far, this Vuelta. The team is so well funded, so powerful, they have the ability to just ride most any stage as a 150km TTT, pulling along at a pace too quick for anyone to sustain a breakaway, then in the last 2km (or last 500m sometimes) the last domestique peels away, and Froome rides the last bit to the finish as quickly as he can. It's very predictable, and making stage races boring IMO, but considering how the rules, and often the course, works, they've found a strategy that works, even more refined than USPS, and Banesto before.
The only way Froome loses this Vuelta is if he tires enough in the last week, and he could. But unless a Giro course is specifically set up to stop Sky, and that won't be easy, he would win there as well, but only if it were his season priority. He also better do it next year, as he's starting to age a bit as well.
Valv.Piti said:I can see Nibali only losing 30 seconds in the time trial. But no matter what Niba will try until its proven once and for all he cant win and that is likely to be just after finishing Angliru.
Matteo. said:At the end only 20s lost. It could end up much worse. By taking the race, I expected at least 40s-50s.
Finally mark these words: he will seek revenge on Saturday. That's for sute
Red Rick said:The Giro is by far the least suited to Froome. Him winning is far from a certaintyAlpe d'Huez said:Froome can most certainly win the Giro, if he focuses on it as a priority. Team Sky's dominance would be the same there as in the Tour, and so far, this Vuelta. The team is so well funded, so powerful, they have the ability to just ride most any stage as a 150km TTT, pulling along at a pace too quick for anyone to sustain a breakaway, then in the last 2km (or last 500m sometimes) the last domestique peels away, and Froome rides the last bit to the finish as quickly as he can. It's very predictable, and making stage races boring IMO, but considering how the rules, and often the course, works, they've found a strategy that works, even more refined than USPS, and Banesto before.
The only way Froome loses this Vuelta is if he tires enough in the last week, and he could. But unless a Giro course is specifically set up to stop Sky, and that won't be easy, he would win there as well, but only if it were his season priority. He also better do it next year, as he's starting to age a bit as well.
It will be around 1:30, maximum 2 minutes I reckon. No less than 1:15 barring technical issues, both bike and Froome wise.Singer01 said:Valv.Piti said:I can see Nibali only losing 30 seconds in the time trial. But no matter what Niba will try until its proven once and for all he cant win and that is likely to be just after finishing Angliru.
Wanna bet? Froome put 1,24 into everyone other than Castroviejo last year on similar length course, and seems to have prepared far better this year. I hope it is only 30 seconds to keep Sky honest, but i can't see it at all.
bigcog said:Matteo. said:At the end only 20s lost. It could end up much worse. By taking the race, I expected at least 40s-50s.
Finally mark these words: he will seek revenge on Saturday. That's for sute
Depends on how bad he is banged up, Nieve said he was ok afterwards, hopefully that is the case. If it he did do damage then I wouldn't be surprised if he loses time as he has done in past, he doesn't recover quickly from crashes.
The man himself said that in the interview post stage:Matteo. said:source? news are discordant.
It honestly looked worse than Quintana's crashes in the Giro. And he was definitely affected.Dekker_Tifosi said:2nd/3rd day after a crash are usually worse than the 1st day. So the weekend could come at an unfortunate time. Race wide open again
Matteo. said:At the end only 20s lost. It could end up much worse. By taking the race, I expected at least 40s-50s.
Finally mark these words: he will seek revenge on Saturday. That's for sute
huge said:I think there will be zero consequences for Froome from those two crashes.
He jumped immediately back on the bike and didn't seem to have any difficulties chasing down.
Matteo. said:At the end only 20s lost. It could end up much worse. By taking the race, I expected at least 40s-50s.
Finally mark these words: he will seek revenge on Saturday. That's for sute
The "mental damage" could be a problem as well. Of course he won't drop on every descent because he is so afraid, but I think if Nibali attacks downhill the insecurity in his head that he crashed twice on a descent could make a little difference.Red Rick said:This is pretty bad for Froome. He's at the point where fading can cost him the race, and fatigue is starting to build up. The crash cost him 3 thigns
Physical harm, he may be hurt and his performance might be affected. My favorite excuse for Contador the last few years, it can happen to Froome too.
He spent a bunch of energy, at a point in the race where you don't want to spend it unnecessarily, especially in your 2nd consecutive GT
He lost time. 20 seconds is unlikely to make the difference, and it might be the least of the problems of what happened today.
But you don't want Nibali close. You don't want to look vulnerable when Alberto Contador and Vincenzo Nibali are there. The 2 riders who give no **** about 2nd places. He can't fade. Not now.