I wonder if there is even a remote chance Gilbert will not win Quebec and Montreal. These races are really tailor made for him from. Great races last year. But probably 2 easy ones for Gilbert this year.
In Quebec a late powerful attack is enough on the short 500m hills. And the sprint is uphill as well. (but I expect Gilbert will be solo like Voeckler)
And in Montreal the 2km hill might be in the beginning of the round, but if Gesink can attack, drop everyone and solo to the finish, sure as hell Gilbert can too.
And again, the sprint is slightly uphill, so even if he is in a group he is unbeatable there.