Futuroscope said:
Last year he lost fair and square. This year would have been a different story, he was in top shape again. In the mountains Nibali isn't good enough to handle a Contador in top shape.
In my opinion if you put Nibali, Froome, Contador and Quintana they all have equal chances of winning. Everyone is entitled to their opinion.
Depending on the routes and parcours it gives advantages and disadvantages to others:
- More technical: Advanatge Nibali
- More Mountain: Advantage Froome, Contador and Quintana.
- More TT: Advantage Froome and Contador.
- Mix of Everything: Contador and Nibali.
Froome is not the best bike handler and was the second one out. The first one was Quintana. Taken out by his love to the Giro, Valverde's last chance and the Pave. Then it was Contador. But I can even say that Nibali was getting stronger and stronger and Contador was already going with the strength somehow decimated. So strong argument could be made that Nibali had a chance to win even without Contador crashing.