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Coronavirus: How dangerous a threat?

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Cookster15

Cookster15

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An update on health system capacities re the ongoing omicron case explosion in NSW Australia:

Worrying detail in NSW Covid-19 case trajectory modelling

Health officials also revealed that of the most serious Covid cases in NSW hospitals, the large majority have the Delta variant in their systems, not Omicron
Click to expand...

39,625 new cases were recorded in the state; 1738 people were in hospital with 134 in ICU which is just over one tenth of the current ICU capacity
Click to expand...

Capacities quoted are for the public system. If these capacities are threatened the government will enlist use of the private sector.

p.s. :
I finally received an email on my PCR test conducted on Dec 29: It provides apologies for the delay due to the current omicron outbreak and record demand.​
We are now told to get a self test via RAT. RAT kits have been sourced by the government but this takes time to be distributed. Until then you need to be lucky to ask soon after they arrive at the shop.​
One reason it takes so long to be distributed is lack of delivery drivers because they have either tested positive else are deemed close contacts under the rules hence must self isolate.​
 
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Koronin

Koronin

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hayneplane said:
Its a lot easier to do that in team sports where they only play once a week. It would be much worse with cycling stage races i.e. imagine Pogacar testing positive for covid while asymptomatic 2 weeks into last years tour when leading by 5 minutes. The eventual winner would have an enormous asterisk next to their name in the record books and fans minds.
Click to expand...
Cookster15 said:
An update on health system capacities re the ongoing omicron case explosion in NSW Australia:

Worrying detail in NSW Covid-19 case trajectory modelling





Capacities quoted are for the public system. If these capacities are threatened the government will enlist use of the private sector.

p.s. :
I finally received an email on my PCR test conducted on Dec 29: It provides apologies for the delay due to the current omicron outbreak and record demand.​
We are now told to get a self test via RAT. RAT kits have been sourced by the government but this takes time to be distributed. Until then you need to be lucky to ask soon after they arrive at the shop.​
One reason it takes so long to be distributed is lack of delivery drivers because they have either tested positive else are deemed close contacts under the rules hence must self isolate.​
Click to expand...


Have you still not gotten any results from it? You're now at 10 days past the test.
 
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jmdirt

Dec 6, 2013
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Cookster15 said:
An update on health system capacities re the ongoing omicron case explosion in NSW Australia:

Worrying detail in NSW Covid-19 case trajectory modelling





Capacities quoted are for the public system. If these capacities are threatened the government will enlist use of the private sector.

p.s. :
I finally received an email on my PCR test conducted on Dec 29: It provides apologies for the delay due to the current omicron outbreak and record demand.​
We are now told to get a self test via RAT. RAT kits have been sourced by the government but this takes time to be distributed. Until then you need to be lucky to ask soon after they arrive at the shop.​
One reason it takes so long to be distributed is lack of delivery drivers because they have either tested positive else are deemed close contacts under the rules hence must self isolate.​
Click to expand...
A test that takes that long to get results is useless for personal/public health information (unless knowing that you were or weren't infected a week ago is important to you).
 
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Cookster15

Cookster15

May 14, 2011
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Koronin said:
Have you still not gotten any results from it? You're now at 10 days past the test.
Click to expand...
Nope. If I am lucky enough to snare a RAT test I’ll know sooner I think. I don’t like the idea of even having a cold so even feel nervous getting groceries with my mask on.

Agree it’s useless I could have been infected since then. Good news is I feel fine and so does everyone I know incl friends and close relatives.
 
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dusty red roads

Mar 21, 2015
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Tokyo had a 15x increase in a week - up to around 1500 new cases yesterday.

With RAT tests - some food for thought - twitter only so far, so not "verified":

Why are some people staying negative in the first days they have symptoms??"
This is expected. Symptoms don't = contagious virus
This is literally a reflection of the fact that vaccines are doing their job!
Read on for graph demonstrating:
https://twitter.com/x/status/1472024457640394756
View: https://mobile.twitter.com/michaelmina_lab/status/1472024457640394756


Relationship between symptom start & peak virus load has changed!
Guidance must keep up accordingly.
https://twitter.com/x/status/1478282520869359616
View: https://mobile.twitter.com/michaelmina_lab/status/1478282520869359616


(with video)
If you’re vaccinated, feeling sick, and test negative for Covid, you may still have Covid.
Vaccination has made your body respond to Covid exposure very quickly. Such that your worst symptoms =/ highest viral load. You may test positive when you actually feel fine.
https://twitter.com/x/status/1476257946761895936
View: https://twitter.com/willahmed/status/1476257946761895936
 
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Cookster15

Cookster15

May 14, 2011
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dusty red roads said:
Tokyo had a 15x increase in a week - up to around 1500 new cases yesterday.

With RAT tests - some food for thought - twitter only so far, so not "verified":

Why are some people staying negative in the first days they have symptoms??"
This is expected. Symptoms don't = contagious virus
This is literally a reflection of the fact that vaccines are doing their job!
Read on for graph demonstrating:
https://twitter.com/x/status/1472024457640394756
View: https://mobile.twitter.com/michaelmina_lab/status/1472024457640394756


Relationship between symptom start & peak virus load has changed!
Guidance must keep up accordingly.
https://twitter.com/x/status/1478282520869359616
View: https://mobile.twitter.com/michaelmina_lab/status/1478282520869359616


(with video)
If you’re vaccinated, feeling sick, and test negative for Covid, you may still have Covid.
Vaccination has made your body respond to Covid exposure very quickly. Such that your worst symptoms =/ highest viral load. You may test positive when you actually feel fine.
https://twitter.com/x/status/1476257946761895936
View: https://twitter.com/willahmed/status/1476257946761895936
Click to expand...
Thanks, this answers something I have first hand knowledge of. Hopefully your Twitter info can be verified.

My partner’s daughter caught omicron from her boyfriend’s parents. She fell sick and tested positive (recovered after three days). But her boyfriend came down with symptoms but tested negative. We wondered how this could be so. Now we know subject to verifying your story.

Interesting how the vaccine and tests might work. Thanks for the info.
 
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Ultrairon

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Ultrairon

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djpbaltimore

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Ultrairon

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Jagartrott

Jagartrott

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Belgium is currently seeing 1.1% of (detected) covid-cases (>90% of cases omicron) needing hospital care, while this was between 2 and 3% in the delta-wave of November 2021 and around 8% in the October-November 2020 wave (i.e. prior to vaccination). IC numbers are stable and not very high (around 20-25% of IC beds occupied by covid-patients, mostly still delta). They expect the bottleneck will lie more in care staff needing to isolate.

More than half of the adults have received boosters now, and 90% of the ones aged 65+. The campaign is still ongoing - I received Moderna after 2x BioNTech-Pfizer, which apparently is a very good combination. I'm quite relaxed now about it all, seeing how the symptoms already changed quite a bit (losing smell and taste for a long period/forever would be a nightmare - I know someone in that situation).
 
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djpbaltimore

Jun 9, 2014
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Jagartrott said:
Belgium is currently seeing 1.1% of (detected) covid-cases (>90% of cases omicron) needing hospital care, while this was between 2 and 3% in the delta-wave of November 2021 and around 8% in the October-November 2020 wave (i.e. prior to vaccination). IC numbers are stable and not very high (around 20-25% of IC beds occupied by covid-patients, mostly still delta). They expect the bottleneck will lie more in care staff needing to isolate.

More than half of the adults have received boosters now, and 90% of the ones aged 65+. The campaign is still ongoing - I received Moderna after 2x BioNTech-Pfizer, which apparently is a very good combination. I'm quite relaxed now about it all, seeing how the symptoms already changed quite a bit (losing smell and taste for a long period/forever would be a nightmare - I know someone in that situation).
Click to expand...
Those are good numbers for the boosters. Vaccination is the big variable between Europe and the US. And now omicron is hitting the low vaccine states . The wave is peaking in the more vaccinated northeast by some metrics.
https://twitter.com/x/status/1480979919358226434
View: https://mobile.twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1480979919358226434

FrankB said:
Click to expand...
This was announced in July about Delta and predates boosters. You think that is some kind of gotcha?

www.cdc.gov

CDC Newsroom

Press releases, advisories, telebriefings, transcripts and archives.
www.cdc.gov www.cdc.gov
 
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FrankB

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djpbaltimore said:
Those are good numbers for the boosters. Vaccination is the big variable between Europe and the US. And now omicron is hitting the low vaccine states . The wave is peaking in the more vaccinated northeast by some metrics.
https://twitter.com/x/status/1480979919358226434
View: https://mobile.twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1480979919358226434


This was announced in July about Delta and predates boosters. You think that is some kind of gotcha?

www.cdc.gov

CDC Newsroom

Press releases, advisories, telebriefings, transcripts and archives.
www.cdc.gov www.cdc.gov
Click to expand...
babylonbee.com

CDC Recommends Being Fully Vaccinated And Also Getting COVID For Strongest Immunity

ATLANTA, GA—In newly updated guidelines, the CDC is now recommending getting fully vaccinated and also getting COVID to achieve the strongest COVID immunity possible.
babylonbee.com babylonbee.com
 
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