ingsve said:
I thought it could be interesting to discuss certain picks a bit more so I'll go through my list and how I have reasoned.
My turn. Ill add their potential for multiplying their totals.
BALLAN Alessandro
I had points, and he missed part of the season through that thing. Most importantly hes on a team which outside Cuddles doesnt have leaders. Cuddles is focusing on the Tour next year. That leaves the former Ronde, Worlds and Pologne winner to the LEADERSHIP at most races he wants. Key word ther. Leadership means you dont waste energies on stuff that dont get you cq points, and save your energies for the stuff that does get you cq points.
Should double his total
BLANCO RODRIGUEZ David
Portugal winner coming into europe with a team that might give him a few chances. around the 300 mark cost wise. why not.
Should match his total at least.
BOONEN Tom
Underperformed last season. Again LEADERSHIP at those cobbled races. Even if he doesnt win hes going to pick up a lot of points on the cobbles. The good thing is cobbles come first and he can ride rest of the season just searching for points. He didnt get them last year because he was injured. And then come the worlds where he could pick up a few hundred too.
Should surpass his big total which = a few hundred. Could double his total.
BOS Theo
Was cheap.
Potential to triple points total
COBO ACEBO Juan Jose
Hrotha said there was a good rider free.
Should multiply his points total by 8 billion then add a few hundred on top of that.
CUNEGO Damiano
Really underachieved this season. Didnt even get too many top 10's. I expect him to get AT least top 10s in many cloassics next season + stages.
Should double his total.
DEIGNAN Philip
was very cheap.
Should get one hundred at least.
DUARTE AREVALO Fabio Andres
Coming over from non european racing means he comes relatively cheap. More a wildcard since he CAN perform and then some, but also can fail. At 181 its a risk worth taking.
SHould match his total. Potential to quintuple it.
EFIMKIN Vladimir
Another cheap rider to go with, my buy them cheap but many strategy. Rides for a team without too many leaders but which got PR, so his team will rider races without leaders, and then he can step up. At 20 points, i might as well have him.
Should quadruple his score. Potential to multiply it by 15.
FEILLU Brice
I like Vacansaleil and the way they ride. Hes young and underperformed last year because of lack of invites. Those invites should be there this year. Even if he isnt given any chances, he should do well Cq wisejust by participating.
Should double his score. Potentially quadruple it.
GOLAS Michal
Another Vacansaleil choice. Their in the pt this year. I was going to choose Hoogerland or Bozic but they were both too expensive so i chose the guy who won sprint jersey at TOB. I was in a hurry at this stage
Should match his total. Potential to double it.
GRIVKO Andriy
Contador has left Astana. Even this year they had no leader after the Tour. No leader = peopl elike Grivko might step up.
GUARNIERI Jacopo
I was in a hurry
TBH i doubt hell match his total from this year.
HAUSSLER Heinrich
Cheap and great. Hoping injuries are behind him and even if they arent, the risk is worth 60 measly points.
Should multiply his total by 8. Potential to multiply it by 25
HUTAROVICH Yauheni
I was in a hurry. He beat Cav once so maybe he can do it in some of the pt stage races.
Might surpass his total. Might lose a bit. Potential to double.
KASHECHKIN Andrey
Cheap and good. Wont be a leader but he didnt cost much.
Even if he isnt the leader, should double points total just by riding.
KWIATKOWSKI Michal
Libertine Seguros hypes him up. Had 110 points to spend. Him or Renshaw. Even though Kwiatkowski cost less, he is more of a wild card, and its only 110 points.
Should double his total
MADRAZO RUIZ Angel
Libertine Seguros hypes him up. Very cheap.
Should quintuple his total. Potential to multiply it by 30.
MARYCZ Jaroslaw
Was in a hurry, so chose the cheap young Polish rider.
SHould match his total. Potential to double it.
NIEMIEC Przemyslaw
who doesnt admire him. Going to be with a better team next year. Not going to be the leader though. Actually probably a wrong decision. Unless hes given a race to try. Cq gives patherically little points for mountain jerseys. Bad choice.
Probably wont match his total. Might halve it.
NOCENTINI Rinaldo
Didnt he once podium Paris Nice? + its the AGR team thing again. a PT team without leaders. And he is good, no doubt.
Should match his total. Potential to double it.
PELLIZOTTI Franco
Missed the year, well most of it, and is good enough to get points. Loads of them. Unless that thing comes back.
Should multiply his total by 10.
PHINNEY Taylor
Everyone else did. LEADERSHIP thing. Behind Ballan and Cuddles he might be BMC's best option, so could get leadership in some races. + tts. Might get sprints.
Might lose points. Potential to double his total.
RUJANO GUILLEN Jose Humberto
touted as a Giro favourite and doesnt cost too much for that. Giro alone doesnt give you too many points but nonetheless enough to make him worth it.
Should match his total
SELLA Emanuele
didnt know who esle. Is back but 354 points aint cheap. If he doesnt do the Giro it might be better because then hell get all those free points in those lesser italian races.
Should match his total.
SICARD Romain
174 is cheap enough. A former under 23 champion and young so a wildcard
Should match his total. Potential to triple it.
SOLER HERNANDEZ Juan Mauricio
Cheap and good. Very good for 47 points.
Should quintuple his total. Potential to mulitiply it by 15
STEEGMANS Gert
Good sprinter going to weak team.Boonen is not going to ride evrything. That video from Paris Nice where he sprints in the wind and flies past everyone motivated this pick.
Should match his points. Potential to double.
TXURRUKA ANSOLA Amets
cheap and a gt stage win is bound sometime. Is a domestique so wont get too much. But he was doing well before crash this year at Pais Vasco. I think hell target that race again next year, and if he doesnt crash, will get points there.
Should match his total. Potential to triple it.
URAN URAN Rigoberto
At sky now, and they have those 2 non tdf gts with no other leader. Always thought he has potential and still do. Good at TDS this year after that Giro. This year put that energy into the Giro my son
VALJAVEC Tadej
Cheap and used to be good, so another wildcard.
SHould match his total. Potential to quintuple it.
VALLS FERRI Rafael
In a hurry. Potential but i dont think hell do much this year. No longer team leader neither. Probably a bad choice.
SHould get half his total. Potential to match it.
WIGGINS Bradley
More expensive than i thought but still ahd a bad season. Should improve in Tour in every way, then might ride Vuelta. Also LEADERSHIP. Even in those Pt races hell be protected meaning he can use his energy for finishes.
Should double his total. Potential to triple it.